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Stats as of
michaeltf31
+$12.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,709
- First Seen
- Aug 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 30, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 30% won · 449 settled · +$11.7K
michaeltf31 is a Kalshi trader with 1,709 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 351 wins and 549 losses on settled markets, $12.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Joaquin Guilleme + Jesse Flores + Oscar Jose Gutierrez + Ignacio Monzon + Dante Pagani on Oct 30.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $278.7K
- Typical trade
- $42.66
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #623
Profit over time
+$21.7K-$4.9K
Sep 9Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4469%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢31631%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢38650%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢31068%76%+8 pts
Over 80¢25190%91%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $942829%-$78.79
$9 to $4342730%-$1.5K
$43 to $10742739%-$4.3K
$107 to $31K42753%+$17.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin91730%+$11.7K
Commodities59652%+$3.1K
Parlays11611%-$4.9K
Tennis5389%+$2.0K
Baseball3100%+$332.63
Other crypto6100%+$138.10
Side taken
Yes 44%56% No
If you had copied michaeltf31
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,257.62
Profit
on $36,000.00 staked
178-182
Record
49% win rate
-6%
Return
+$6.27-$2.3K
Sep 7Oct 26
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
732% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$15.9K won vs $18.2K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 129 trades
By category
crypto118 settled+4%
finance121 settled-4%
other43 settled-15%
sports78 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Joaquin Guilleme + Jesse Flores + Oscar Jose Gutierrez + Ignacio Monzon + Dante Pagani
Oct 30
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$24.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.1K on Yes at 8¢, Sep 16
- 2+$2.7KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.6K on No at 36¢, Sep 21
- 3+$2.2KGold price up in next 15 mins?$776.48 on No at 26¢, Sep 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?14¢91630%+$11.7K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?46¢48852%+$2.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YD7TS5WD4NNIG3S3-FLDNOJ3K713¢20%-$557.07
Silver price up in next 15 mins?38¢4260%+$494.73
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026Z52XJCT2F6P2ZCEX-LH24AUY3L21¢20%-$589.29
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 2Oct 30
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$18.2K
Oct 2026-$6.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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