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Stats as of

Kalshi

millinocket

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
107
First Seen
Oct 15, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Commodities
44% won · 16 settled · +$3.21

millinocket is a Kalshi trader with 107 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 23 wins and 48 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 8.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+117%
Money traded
$1.9K
Typical trade
$3.54
Avg entry
12¢
Kalshi rank
#2,993

Profit over time

+$1.5K-$113.00
Oct 15Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢418%15%+7 pts
20 to 40¢2426%40%+14 pts
40 to 60¢1850%40%-10 pts
60 to 80¢1268%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢1289%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12739%+$1.5K
$1 to $42722%-$11.97
$4 to $242726%-$73.64
$24 to $1892644%+$12.25

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics1344%+$27.00
Esports1225%+$207.06
Commodities2644%+$3.21
College basketball40%-$237.54
Mentions520%+$5.96
Bitcoin1933%-$7.55

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied millinocket

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$90,846.92
Profit
on $3,200.00 staked
11-21
Record
34% win rate
+2839%
Return
1 still open
-$966.54
Max drawdown
1% below peak
94.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
44.26×
Profit factor
$92.9K won vs $2.1K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
20 trades

By category

sports6 settled+15158%
finance14 settled+27%
crypto11 settled-35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $2.73

The markets millinocket is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what millinocket is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 3 fills
No12¢sold 13¢$9.42-$9.42
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 2 fills
Yes62¢sold 68¢$9.74+$5.97
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 2 fills
Yes73¢sold 100¢$24.54+$9.08
See every position across 50 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cincinnati,yes New Orleans,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville wins by over 9.5 points,yes Seattle wins by over 6.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points
    $1.85 on Yes at 0¢, Nov 5
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will Passion UA win the BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 2: The MongolZ vs. Passion UA?
    $46.20 on Yes at 14¢, Nov 12
    +$283.80
  3. 3
    What will MrBeast say during Next MrBeast Youtube Video?
    $95.99 on No at 43¢, Nov 5
    +$127.01
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will TheMongolz win the Spirit vs. TheMongolz match?17¢90%-$46.24
Gold price up in next 15 mins?30¢2146%-$13.40
Will the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) or the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) announce an ongoing nationwide delay, suspension, reduction, or non-issuance of November 2025 SNAP benefits to recipients on their scheduled payment dates due to a lapse in appropriations in 2025?76¢2100%+$30.14
Alabama St. at Air Force Winner?48¢10%-$188.64
Will anyone vote No on releasing the Epstein files?50¢6100%+$71.83

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$44.24
Nov 2025+$44.22
Dec 2025+$0.56
Nov 2026+$1.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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