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Stats as of

mitchell4534

+$11.3K
Tracked Trades
571
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Tennis
40% won · 379 settled · +$6.5K

mitchell4534 is a Kalshi trader with 571 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 163 wins and 244 losses on settled markets, $11.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Blake Ellis wins on Oct 31.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+37%
Money traded
$74.9K
Typical trade
$18.89
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#677

Profit over time

+$12.1K-$2.6K
Aug 24Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13810%20%+9 pts
20 to 40¢12830%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢12448%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢9069%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢9192%86%-6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $314337%+$39.56
$3 to $1914329%-$213.45
$19 to $9514339%+$1.4K
$95 to $4.2K14261%+$10.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis53740%+$6.5K
NFL2752%+$5.0K
College football30%-$112.21
Commodities30%-$105.54
Baseball10%-$0.01

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied mitchell4534

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$430.09
Profit
on $17,700.00 staked
68-109
Record
38% win rate
-2%
Return
Profit over time177 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.3K
Aug 24Oct 12
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
1599% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$10.5K won vs $10.9K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 40¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
110 trades

By category

sports172 settled-0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Blake Ellis wins
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 91¢$710.86Exited
BYU wins
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 39¢$973.61Exited
Maja Chwalinska wins
Oct 17
Sold Nosold 39¢$691.46Exited
See every position across 181 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Tampa Bay wins
    $2.1K on Yes at 32¢, Oct 9
    +$4.3K
  2. 2
    Aneta Kucmova wins
    $1.7K on Yes at 34¢, Oct 12
    +$3.3K
  3. 3
    jiale Zhang wins
    $1.9K on Yes at 46¢, Oct 13
    +$2.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Tampa Bay wins31¢7100%+$5.9K
jiale Zhang wins46¢4100%+$2.3K
I Wen Wan wins14¢60%-$582.18
Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde wins1+$0.00
McKenna Schaefbauer wins10¢80%-$312.79

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$721.56
Sep 2026-$1.9K
Oct 2026+$13.9K

Kalshi leaderboards

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