salty.butterfly3316
-$12.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,386
- First Seen
- Jun 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Followers
- 38
salty.butterfly3316 is a Kalshi trader with 1,386 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 309 wins and 755 losses on settled markets, -$12.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chile wins on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- -8%
- Money traded
- $351.8K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 28¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,339
Profit over time
+$0-$24.4K
Jun 29Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5833%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢5633%4%-29 pts
40 to 60¢14553%70%+18 pts
60 to 80¢18573%88%+15 pts
Over 80¢41790%51%-39 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $13473%-$116
$1 to $1034716%-$764
$10 to $8434650%-$1.6K
$88 to $13K34666%-$9.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer138029%-$12.0K
Boxing6+$0
Side taken
Yes 96%4% No
If you had copied salty.butterfly3316
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$8289
Profit
on $49600 staked
289-207
Record
58% win rate
-17%
Return
29 still open
+$3.6K-$8.3K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$13.8K
Max drawdown
350% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.60×
Profit factor
$12.4K won vs $20.7K lost
-15.5 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 74¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 138
- Deepest drawdown
- 138 trades
By category
sports495 settled-17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $41.6K
The markets salty.butterfly3316 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Chile wins
Oct 7, 3 fills
USA wins
Oct 6, 25 fills
Spain wins
Oct 6, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.7KGuatemala wins$3.6K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 5
- 2+$3.4KPortugal vs Croatia: To Advance$8.8K on Yes at 72¢, Jul 3
- 3+$3.0KGuatemala wins$2.8K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
France vs England: To Advance87¢8+$0
Tie is the result69¢6182%+$2.0K
Mexico vs England: To Advance50¢40%-$7.2K
Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance81¢23+$0
France vs Sweden: To Advance89¢4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$212
Jul 2026-$22.7K
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$11.8K
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