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Stats as of
MordecaiBird
mordecaibird
+$57
- Tracked Trades
- 1,002
- First Seen
- Oct 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 53% won · 418 settled · +$57
MordecaiBird is a Kalshi trader with 1,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 223 wins and 195 losses on settled markets, $57 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $11.6K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Avg entry
- 52¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,539
Profit over time
+$237-$606
Oct 9Oct 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1608%12%+4 pts
20 to 40¢17228%26%-3 pts
40 to 60¢29152%48%-4 pts
60 to 80¢27767%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢10290%94%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025141%+$4
$0 to $125150%-$1
$1 to $125064%-$10
$1 to $1.4K25054%+$63
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin100253%+$57
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied MordecaiBird
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3188
Profit
on $41800 staked
223-195
Record
53% win rate
+8%
Return
+$5.0K-$631
Oct 5Oct 19
-$4.3K
Max drawdown
550% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.16×
Profit factor
$22.7K won vs $19.5K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 54¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 169 trades
By category
crypto416 settled+8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$652BTC price up in next 15 mins?$679 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 20
- 2+$575BTC price up in next 15 mins?$762 on No at 57¢, Oct 20
- 3+$515BTC price up in next 15 mins?$581 on Yes at 53¢, Oct 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?52¢100253%+$57
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$57
Kalshi leaderboards
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