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Stats as of

mph1

+$199.45
Tracked Trades
150
First Seen
Dec 10, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In US elections
90% won · 10 settled · +$478.31

mph1 is a Kalshi trader with 150 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 58 wins and 27 losses on settled markets, $199.45 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the House in 2026? on Oct 22.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$22.9K
Typical trade
$47.44
Avg entry
74¢
Kalshi rank
#4,723

Profit over time

+$362.00-$361.00
Dec 10Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢106%14%+8 pts
20 to 40¢3531%36%+5 pts
40 to 60¢3749%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢3367%83%+16 pts
Over 80¢3591%91%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $93854%+$40.63
$9 to $483855%+$116.41
$48 to $993768%-$307.53
$99 to $9.9K3791%+$349.94

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections4290%+$478.31
College basketball1983%-$60.93
NBA4656%+$57.63
NFL989%+$212.14
Basketball660%+$116.77
Commodities1100%+$20.64

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied mph1

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$356.06
Profit
on $600.00 staked
2-4
Record
33% win rate
-59%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$43.94-$356.06
Aug 3Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

By category

sports5 settled-51%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $10.7K

The markets mph1 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mph1 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Golden State wins
Oct 22
Yes29¢$47.63-$47.63
Will the Portland Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season?
Oct 21, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 44¢$98.12Exited
Will the New York Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season?
Oct 21, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 45¢$61.20Exited
See every position across 80 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Nirav Shah be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Maine?
    $1.1K on No at 71¢, Jun 11
    +$449.99
  2. 2
    Oklahoma City at Boston Winner?
    $95.55 on Yes at 35¢, Mar 26
    +$177.45
  3. 3
    San Francisco at Philadelphia Winner?
    $56.68 on Yes at 26¢, Jan 11
    +$161.32
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?92¢1+$0.00
Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?43¢21+$0.00
Will Nirav Shah be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Maine?71¢12100%+$449.99
Shenzhen Leopards at Liaoning Flying Leopards Winner?99¢1100%+$6.77
Duquesne at Rhode Island Winner?97¢1100%+$15.42

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$326.28
Jan 2026+$264.60
Feb 2026-$269.52
Mar 2026+$114.93
Apr 2026-$9.36
May 2026+$234.96
Jun 2026+$208.62
Jul 2026+$117.51
Aug 2026+$9.50
Sep 2026+$17.00
Oct 2026-$162.51

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