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Stats as of

Nat.ayz

nat.ayz

-$893.93
Tracked Trades
274
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
62% won · 29 settled · +$778.96

Nat.ayz is a Kalshi trader with 274 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 147 losses on settled markets, -$893.93 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 26.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$72.6K
Typical trade
$93.69
Avg entry
12¢
Kalshi rank
#5,827

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$14.3K
Jun 25Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢998%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢7830%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢5849%67%+18 pts
60 to 80¢2570%76%+6 pts
Over 80¢1490%83%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $396933%-$13.39
$39 to $946927%+$3.9K
$94 to $976832%+$1.8K
$97 to $6.6K6853%-$6.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays21732%-$1.5K
Bitcoin5462%+$778.96
NBA10%-$92.76
Soccer20%-$45.50

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied Nat.ayz

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$5,792.07
Profit
on $21,400.00 staked
76-138
Record
36% win rate
+27%
Return
Profit over time214 settled trades
+$5.8K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 26
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
80% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.42×
Profit factor
$19.6K won vs $13.8K lost
+5.0 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
82 trades

By category

sports192 settled+29%
crypto22 settled+6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26, 16 fills
Sold Yessold 95¢$2.2KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26, 12 fills
No4¢$92.19-$92.19
yes Pasto,yes Pachuca,yes Cruz Azul,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
Oct 26
Sold Nosold 16¢$19.73Exited
See every position across 217 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Alejandro Tabilo / Luca Van Assche,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Casey Hoole,yes Arakawa / Tse,yes Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas,yes Jade Groen,yes Daria Zelinskaya,yes Alexandra Shubladze
    $3.9K on Yes at 46¢, Oct 2
    +$4.6K
  2. 2
    yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Atletico,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes PSG,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
    $93.28 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 21
    +$3.6K
  3. 3
    yes Indiana,yes Portland,yes Las Vegas,yes Los Angeles
    $93.60 on Yes at 4¢, Aug 28
    +$2.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Alejandro Tabilo / Luca Van Assche,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Casey Hoole,yes Arakawa / Tse,yes Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas,yes Jade Groen,yes Daria Zelinskaya,yes Alexandra Shubladze46¢2100%+$4.6K
yes Juan Cruz Martin Manzano,yes Henrique Rocha,yes Denolly / Plunger,yes Florent Bax,yes Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso,yes Ekaterina Dotsenko,yes Luciana Moyano,yes Ana Sofia Sanchez49¢20%-$2.9K
yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid42¢10%-$6.6K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?39¢5462%+$778.96
yes Theo Papamalamis,yes Max Purcell,yes Meabe / Florencia Urrutia,yes Caroline Dolehide,yes Ha Eum Lee,yes Kanon Sawashiro,yes Jessica Bouzas Maneiro,yes Mirra Andreeva40¢2100%+$2.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$2.5K
Jul 2026-$1.2K
Aug 2026+$4.1K
Sep 2026-$14.2K
Oct 2026+$13.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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