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Stats as of
new.break
-$8.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,021
- First Seen
- Dec 30, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
new.break is a Kalshi trader with 1,021 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 205 wins and 685 losses on settled markets, -$8.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265AF2540F7D8-F109950B791 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 23%
- Return on settled
- -11%
- Money traded
- $130.8K
- Typical trade
- $94.17
- Avg entry
- 16¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,170
Profit over time
+$1.1K-$12.3K
Dec 30Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢43412%11%-1 pts
20 to 40¢31228%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢15548%44%-4 pts
60 to 80¢4171%46%-25 pts
Over 80¢7991%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4725617%-$1.2K
$47 to $9425519%-$5.1K
$94 to $9825524%-$4.3K
$98 to $2.2K25539%+$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays88620%-$8.4K
College basketball5741%-$349.37
Baseball2256%-$38.29
Tennis1163%+$257.10
NBA1629%-$368.03
Cricket1664%-$42.09
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied new.break
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$4,211.68
Profit
on $35,000.00 staked
92-258
Record
26% win rate
+12%
Return
+$6.3K-$600.00
Jul 27Oct 5
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
54% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.16×
Profit factor
$30.0K won vs $25.8K lost
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 26¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 181 trades
By category
other257 settled+16%
sports92 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265AF2540F7D8-F109950B791
Oct 13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264E5207B90CB-E8E5E726397
Oct 10
Nebraska wins
Oct 10
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Los Angeles L,yes Argentina advances,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored$466.27 on Yes at 28¢, Jul 15
- 2+$1.2Kyes Washington,yes Washington,yes Chicago,no New York wins by over 21.5 points$107.66 on Yes at 8¢, Aug 5
- 3+$1.1Kyes New York Y,no Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points$476.78 on Yes at 31¢, Jul 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
no Kansas City wins by over 2.5 runs,no Goal Diff Reg Time: Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Golden State,no New York wins by over 9.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points21¢20%-$473.73
yes Taylor Fritz,no St. Louis wins by over 3.5 runs,no Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 runs,no Toronto wins by over 3.5 runs,yes New York,no Atlanta wins by over 9.5 points23¢20%-$464.86
yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs16¢2100%+$1.0K
yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 20+,yes San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points46¢20%-$471.85
yes San Francisco,no Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 9.5 runs scored45¢20%-$488.12
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$25.82
Jan 2026+$512.09
Feb 2026-$2.0K
Mar 2026-$76.28
Apr 2026-$2.9K
May 2026-$2.6K
Jun 2026-$2.6K
Jul 2026-$375.46
Aug 2026+$3.9K
Sep 2026-$2.7K
Oct 2026-$173.48
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