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Stats as of
ponz
-$8.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 945
- First Seen
- Mar 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 41% won · 39 settled · +$1.1K
ponz is a Kalshi trader with 945 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 102 wins and 671 losses on settled markets, -$8.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VJXDWT6WTWIKEGWD-WJ46BBQEA on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 13%
- Return on settled
- -25%
- Money traded
- $118.5K
- Typical trade
- $9.37
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,136
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$10.5K
Mar 20Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5296%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢16129%16%-13 pts
40 to 60¢11449%37%-12 pts
60 to 80¢4370%55%-15 pts
Over 80¢9891%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $42376%+$38.98
$4 to $923612%-$418.73
$9 to $9223611%-$2.7K
$92 to $10K23630%-$5.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4365%-$61.23
NBA23025%-$3.1K
Soccer10816%-$5.5K
NFL5041%+$1.1K
College football1831%-$198.29
College basketball150%-$445.84
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied ponz
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,436.49
Profit
on $33,700.00 staked
27-310
Record
8% win rate
+4%
Return
+$8.4K-$7.1K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$11.1K
Max drawdown
89% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$32.4K won vs $31.0K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 10¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 76
- Deepest drawdown
- 244 trades
By category
other217 settled+22%
sports117 settled-28%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VJXDWT6WTWIKEGWD-WJ46BBQEA
Oct 14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269C55A081769-071A52DEE08
Oct 13
yes Atletico,yes Galatasaray,yes Club Brugge,yes Viking,yes Villarreal
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.6KLos Angeles L at Orlando Winner?$1.4K on Yes at 35¢, Mar 22
- 2+$1.6KGame 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner?$948.18 on Yes at 37¢, Apr 24
- 3+$1.1KPortland at Denver Winner?$780.61 on Yes at 42¢, Apr 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?18¢190%-$1.9K
Milwaukee at Brooklyn Winner?32¢170%-$3.2K
Los Angeles L at Orlando Winner?35¢11100%+$2.6K
Milwaukee at Phoenix Winner?71¢30%-$1.5K
Game 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner?37¢2100%+$1.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$1.3K
Apr 2026-$4.5K
May 2026-$170.56
Jun 2026-$1.1K
Jul 2026-$1.3K
Aug 2026-$1.5K
Sep 2026-$276.24
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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