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Stats as of

normal.mule

-$906
Tracked Trades
1,144
First Seen
Jun 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026

normal.mule is a Kalshi trader with 1,144 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 424 wins and 233 losses on settled markets, -$906 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 22.

Win rate
65%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$70.0K
Typical trade
$24
Avg entry
74¢
Kalshi rank
#5,261

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$2.1K
Jun 18Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2839%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢18831%23%-7 pts
40 to 60¢16350%38%-12 pts
60 to 80¢21969%69%+0 pts
Over 80¢29190%90%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $728639%-$126
$7 to $2428664%+$18
$24 to $6928663%-$779
$69 to $1.5K28681%-$19

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin113865%-$905
US elections2+$0
Soccer30%-$1
Esports10%-$0

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied normal.mule

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$918
Profit
on $9700 staked
78-19
Record
80% win rate
-9%
Return
1 still open
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
427% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.52×
Profit factor
$982 won vs $1.9K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 82¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
59 trades

By category

crypto97 settled-9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.5K

The markets normal.mule is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what normal.mule is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 2 fills
No94¢$2.5K+$170
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22
No63¢$292-$292
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 7 fills
Yes32¢sold 28¢$24-$24
See every position across 90 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.8K on Yes at 58¢, Jun 19
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.3K on No at 63¢, Jun 19
    +$756
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $327 on Yes at 33¢, Jun 19
    +$658
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?74¢113365%-$920
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027?91¢2+$0
Bitcoin price on Oct 21, 2026?99¢5100%+$15
Scotland vs Morocco Winner?6¢20%-$1
Brazil vs Haiti Winner?8¢10%-$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$721
Oct 2026-$186

Kalshi leaderboards

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