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Stats as of

punished.snake

+$533
Tracked Trades
509
First Seen
Dec 31, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
53% won · 100 settled · +$945

punished.snake is a Kalshi trader with 509 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 111 wins and 188 losses on settled markets, $533 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 18.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$14.9K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
53¢
Kalshi rank
#4,020

Profit over time

+$533-$1.1K
Dec 31Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1136%3%-3 pts
20 to 40¢6529%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢14252%38%-14 pts
60 to 80¢10468%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢8590%29%-62 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $112819%-$15
$1 to $512729%-$91
$5 to $2412744%-$139
$24 to $1.0K12757%+$777

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin20653%+$945
World politics520%-$98
Mentions12138%-$139
Soccer4236%+$91
Commodities4100%+$123
US elections80%-$68

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied punished.snake

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3783
Profit
on $14700 staked
63-84
Record
43% win rate
-26%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time147 settled trades
+$16-$3.8K
Sep 28Oct 12
-$5.3K
Max drawdown
32310% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.55×
Profit factor
$4.6K won vs $8.4K lost
-23.7 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 67¢ avg
Longest losing streak
38
Deepest drawdown
58 trades

By category

crypto102 settled-3%
sports42 settled-86%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $25

The markets punished.snake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what punished.snake is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
No60¢$1.0K+$679
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18, 14 fills
Sold Yessold 4¢$70Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
No66¢$760+$392
See every position across 112 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.0K on No at 60¢, Oct 18
    +$679
  2. 2
    What will Bernie Sanders say during ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st?
    $318 on Yes at 40¢, Jan 1
    +$480
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $760 on No at 66¢, Oct 18
    +$392
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?62¢20554%+$946
Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?59¢27+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?80¢4100%+$123
What will Bernie Sanders say during ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st?37¢2270%+$385
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?23¢60%-$98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$6
Jan 2026-$281
Feb 2026-$21
Mar 2026-$47
Jun 2026-$2
Jul 2026-$43
Oct 2026+$921

Kalshi leaderboards

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