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Stats as of
shermluis
+$532
- Tracked Trades
- 539
- First Seen
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 2% won · 450 settled · +$282
shermluis is a Kalshi trader with 539 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 464 losses on settled markets, $532 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YPXB6BSQ4UX6K2IC-XK2ZNBTHZ on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 3%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $89.2K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,022
Profit over time
+$899-$2.0K
Feb 11Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4651%2%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1428%30%+2 pts
40 to 60¢450%100%+50 pts
60 to 80¢471%
Over 80¢5297%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $81353%-$482
$8 to $91351%+$189
$9 to $141351%-$1.1K
$14 to $3.5K1346%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5032%+$282
MMA250%+$255
Bitcoin2136%+$8
Ethereum120%-$4
Soccer10%-$9
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied shermluis
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5792
Profit
on $37600 staked
10-366
Record
3% win rate
-15%
Return
+$13.1K-$12.2K
Aug 10Oct 19
-$27.9K
Max drawdown
213% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$30.8K won vs $36.6K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
3% won at 2¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 184
- Deepest drawdown
- 293 trades
By category
sports352 settled-14%
crypto24 settled-43%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YPXB6BSQ4UX6K2IC-XK2ZNBTHZ
Oct 23
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026325YICKU63CBJHOZ-B664S7XNH
Oct 22
yes Yuki Bhambri / Ryan Seggerman,yes Nathaniel Lammons / Jackson Withrow,yes Terence Atmane,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Ioannis Xilas,yes Benjamin Pietri,yes Isabelle Haverlag / Lilli Tagger,yes Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic,yes Hao-Ching Chan / Miyu (1994) Kato,yes Katerina Siniakova,yes Mary Stoiana,yes Iva Jovic
Oct 22
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Los Angeles D,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Toronto,yes New York R,yes Detroit,yes Chicago,yes Vegas$29 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 6
- 2+$1.4Kyes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Detroit,yes Philadelphia,yes Omarion Hampton: 1+,yes Lamar Jackson: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Chase Brown: 1+$9 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 13
- 3+$1.3Kyes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Carolina,yes New York R,yes Detroit,yes Utah,yes Vegas,no Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Over 5.5 goals scored$18 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 6
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Butler,yes Chattanooga,yes Villanova,yes Elon,yes Notre Dame,yes Georgia St.,yes TCU,yes St. Thomas,yes John Castaneda,yes Rinya Nakamura,yes Montel Jackson,yes Mehemmedeli Osmanli,yes Raul Rosas Jr1¢20%-$43
yes Matej Dodig,yes Ivan Gakhov,yes Alejandro Moro Canas,yes Oleksii Krutykh,yes Lorenzo Giustino,yes Marvin Moeller,yes Miguel Damas,yes Pol Martin Tiffon,yes Francesco Passaro,yes Geladaris / Sakellaridis,yes Maxence Bertimon,yes Dakotah Bobo,yes Samuel De Felipe Garcia,yes Juan Sebastian Gomez,yes Anna Blinkova0¢20%-$4
yes Houston,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Colorado,yes Toronto,yes Philadelphia,no Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals1¢20%-$34
yes BYU,yes Harvard,yes Miami (FL),yes Oregon St.,yes Texas Tech,yes USC,yes Buffalo,yes Edmonton,yes Colorado,yes Tampa Bay,yes Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Payton Talbott,yes Ateba Gautier,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Roberto Soldic,yes Anthony Wint1¢20%-$14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CCCC7459711-4A3456864111+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$9
Mar 2026+$306
Apr 2026-$56
May 2026-$40
Jun 2026-$129
Jul 2026-$564
Aug 2026-$21
Sep 2026-$694
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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