rivomarkets

thecloudboy

+$1.0K
Tracked Trades
996
First Seen
Sep 10, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
498
Best In Weather
39% won · 104 settled · +$138

thecloudboy is a Kalshi trader with 996 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 65 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXHIGHCHI-26SEP28-B73.5 on Sep 28.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+76%
Money traded
$14.9K
Typical trade
$4
Copy score
31/100
Kalshi rank
#2,432

Profit over time

+$1.6K+$0
Sep 13Sep 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15611%5%-6 pts
20 to 40¢28629%38%+9 pts
40 to 60¢20748%94%+46 pts
60 to 80¢25668%91%+22 pts
Over 80¢9190%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $124921%-$2
$1 to $424937%-$12
$4 to $1024939%+$13
$10 to $1.5K24963%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather98739%+$138
College football950%+$910

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied thecloudboy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$755
Profit
on $10800 staked
43-65
Record
40% win rate
+7%
Return
448 still open
Profit over time108 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0
Sep 7Sep 28
-$6.5K
Max drawdown
124% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$7.3K won vs $6.5K lost
+9.6 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
65
Deepest drawdown
65 trades

By category

other108 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

25 open positions worth $6.0K

The markets thecloudboy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thecloudboy is holding

Recent positions

KXHIGHCHI-26SEP28-B73.5
Sep 28, avg 82¢
BUYYES$738Open
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Sep 24, 2026?
Sep 24, avg 87¢
BUYNO$1.5KOpen
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Sep 24, 2026?
Sep 24, 5 fills, avg 73¢
BUYNO$268Open
See every position across 32 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $185 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Sep 17, 2026?
    $123 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$293
  3. 3
    Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Sep 23, 2026?
    $123 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$127
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Sep 24, 2026?6+$0
Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?4100%+$1.3K
Will the maximum temperature be <79° on Sep 11, 2026?106+$0
Will LSU win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?50%-$405
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Sep 18, 2026?58+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.0K

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