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Stats as of
Realdealp
realdealp
+$299.20
- Tracked Trades
- 521
- First Seen
- Apr 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 22% won · 174 settled · +$685.11
Realdealp is a Kalshi trader with 521 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 111 wins and 379 losses on settled markets, $299.20 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LD3ML6FH665N7NTM-UGPYXABOL on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 23%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $13.9K
- Typical trade
- $23.77
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,498
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$106.00
Apr 4Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢27312%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢14328%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢7948%45%-3 pts
60 to 80¢870%0%-70 pts
Over 80¢1895%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$4 to $1113111%-$363.76
$11 to $2413021%+$566.79
$24 to $2413029%+$368.75
$24 to $1.2K13032%-$272.58
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17917%+$27.95
Baseball17822%+$685.11
NFL9832%-$131.57
WNBA1620%-$163.78
Hockey3626%+$9.56
NBA520%-$74.89
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied Realdealp
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$578.63
Profit
on $47,200.00 staked
108-364
Record
23% win rate
+1%
Return
+$5.9K-$10.87
Aug 17Oct 26
-$7.2K
Max drawdown
117% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$37.0K won vs $36.4K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 304 trades
By category
sports472 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LD3ML6FH665N7NTM-UGPYXABOL
Oct 31
yes Berkly Catton: 1+,yes Kaapo Kakko: 1+
Oct 30
yes Jalen Brunson: 3+,no Anthony Black: 4+,yes Ayo Dosunmu: 20+
Oct 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$336.83Brayan Rocchio: 1+ home runs?$21.50 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 6
- 2+$182.55yes Tyler Warren: 1+,yes Xavier Worthy: 1+,no Over 63.5 points scored$11.24 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 21
- 3+$181.08yes Lawrence Butler: 2+,yes Zack Gelof: 2+,yes Steven Kwan: 2+$23.53 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LD3ML6FH665N7NTM-UGPYXABOL1+$0.00
yes Trey McBride: 1+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+6¢20%-$23.45
yes Jalen Brunson: 3+,no Anthony Black: 4+,yes Ayo Dosunmu: 20+5¢20%-$15.92
yes Cleveland,yes Indianapolis,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points10¢20%-$23.50
no Indiana wins by over 24.5 points,no Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points,yes Texas St. wins by over 9.5 points14¢20%-$23.57
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$77.83
Jul 2026-$28.21
Aug 2026+$593.60
Sep 2026+$279.65
Oct 2026-$468.01
Kalshi leaderboards
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