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Stats as of

reluctant.fox5394

-$17.8K
Tracked Trades
14,985
First Seen
Oct 8, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In MMA
67% won · 52 settled · +$1.9K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active sports traders who bet one side: BWmarkets, call.road, Bizzle333

reluctant.fox5394 is a Kalshi trader with 14,985 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,362 wins and 8,052 losses on settled markets, -$17.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will over 1.5 goals be scored? on Nov 2.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$4.2M
Typical trade
$2.03
Avg entry
48¢
Kalshi rank
#6,991

Profit over time

+$0.00-$61.0K
Oct 8Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢100303%2%-1 pts
20 to 40¢68829%10%-20 pts
40 to 60¢36249%65%+17 pts
60 to 80¢59671%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢330993%96%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $037471%-$354.67
$0 to $237463%-$1.9K
$2 to $25374614%-$1.6K
$25 to $64K374664%-$13.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer1489514%-$19.7K
MMA9067%+$1.9K

Side taken

Yes 37%63% No

If you had copied reluctant.fox5394

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,967.88
Profit
on $61,600.00 staked
450-166
Record
73% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time616 settled trades
+$634.19-$3.0K
Oct 5Nov 2
-$6.5K
Max drawdown
257% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$13.6K won vs $16.6K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 72¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
494 trades

By category

other12 settled+10%
sports604 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Nov 2, 10 fills
Yes4¢sold 6¢$29.92-$29.92
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Nov 2
Sold Nosold 91¢$3.64Exited
Deportivo De La Coruna wins
Nov 2, 163 fills
No2¢sold 2¢$319.92-$319.92
See every position across 661 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Pumas UNAM wins
    $11.9K on Yes at 28¢, Oct 31
    +$30.7K
  2. 2
    Cruz Azul wins
    $29.0K on Yes at 73¢, Oct 22
    +$10.5K
  3. 3
    Belgrano de Cordoba wins
    $104.90 on No at 1¢, Nov 1
    +$9.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Tie is the result45¢289113%-$12.8K
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?40¢7119%-$1.8K
Bayern Munich wins60¢45189%-$13.9K
Dortmund wins71¢20853%-$29.1K
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?31¢68417%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$11.4K
Nov 2026-$6.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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