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Stats as of
retirement.account
+$5.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 724
- First Seen
- Jul 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 83% won · 59 settled · +$4.7K
retirement.account is a Kalshi trader with 724 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 205 wins and 275 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Dallas,yes Colorado,yes Montreal,yes Toronto on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $96.4K
- Typical trade
- $60.19
- Avg entry
- 24¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,734
Profit over time
+$8.3K-$1.5K
Jul 11Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1399%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢15530%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢19650%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢12671%70%-1 pts
Over 80¢10894%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1318157%+$71.10
$13 to $5918139%-$1.1K
$61 to $16018137%-$2.4K
$162 to $5.0K18143%+$8.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays20118%+$289.18
Bitcoin16490%+$5.1K
Tennis8939%-$2.1K
Baseball5347%+$2.8K
Golf30%-$56.00
Hockey2131%-$1.2K
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied retirement.account
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$152.68
Profit
on $22,800.00 staked
79-149
Record
35% win rate
-1%
Return
+$1.7K-$1.6K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
170% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$14.7K won vs $14.9K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 118 trades
By category
crypto14 settled+42%
culture13 settled+18%
finance12 settled+14%
sports187 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Dallas,yes Colorado,yes Montreal,yes Toronto
Oct 31
yes Buffalo,yes Ottawa
Oct 31
yes Boston,yes Edmonton,yes Tampa Bay
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.1Kyes Minnesota,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs$187.23 on Yes at 4¢, Jul 22
- 2+$2.2Kyes Dallas,yes Colorado,yes Montreal,yes Toronto$438.32 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 31
- 3+$2.1Kyes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Washington wins by over 1.5 runs$235.18 on Yes at 10¢, Jul 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026?47¢8083%+$3.8K
Will Vince Whaley win the 3M Open?1¢20%-$30.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?79¢34100%+$703.82
Bitcoin price on Oct 31, 2026?76¢2588%-$369.66
Gold price up in next 15 mins?43¢4060%-$144.16
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$3.7K
Aug 2026-$3.5K
Sep 2026+$1.1K
Oct 2026+$4.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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