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Stats as of

round.donkey8798

-$367.94
Tracked Trades
199
First Seen
Apr 13, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Parlays
7% won · 28 settled · +$2.4K

round.donkey8798 is a Kalshi trader with 199 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 23 wins and 140 losses on settled markets, -$367.94 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026X3PW5EPUTADLGEP5-D46G3DVLO on Nov 2.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$46.0K
Typical trade
$94.01
Avg entry
5¢
Kalshi rank
#5,517

Profit over time

+$2.9K-$3.0K
Apr 13Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1188%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢5830%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢647%50%+3 pts
60 to 80¢769%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢1091%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $45503%+$1.6K
$45 to $945013%-$489.86
$94 to $1905011%-$3.9K
$190 to $4.2K4933%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer10517%-$899.95
Parlays307%+$2.4K
Weather139%-$902.26
Solana1122%+$202.17
Bitcoin1625%+$76.79
Golf100%-$184.38

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied round.donkey8798

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$10,307.43
Profit
on $4,800.00 staked
5-43
Record
10% win rate
+215%
Return
Profit over time48 settled trades
+$10.3K-$2.0K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.40×
Profit factor
$14.6K won vs $4.3K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 9¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
31 trades

By category

sports29 settled+392%
crypto19 settled-56%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026X3PW5EPUTADLGEP5-D46G3DVLO
Nov 2
Sold Nosold 82¢$2.0KExited
yes Aaron Rodgers: 2+,yes Matthew Stafford: 2+,yes Kirk Cousins: 2+,yes Zay Flowers: 6+,yes Tyler Warren: 4+,yes Tre Tucker: 4+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 4+,yes Stefon Diggs: 4+,yes Jaylen Warren: 25+,yes Omar Cooper Jr.: 50+,yes Hunter Henry: 40+,yes Tee Higgins: 60+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 100+,yes James Cook III: 80+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 50+,yes Jordan Mason: 50+
Nov 1
Yes0¢$6.22-$6.22
yes Javonte Williams: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jaylen Warren: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Ollie Gordon II: 1+,yes Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Zach Charbonnet: 1+
Nov 1
Yes0¢$4.80-$4.80
See every position across 126 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Arizona,yes Tampa Bay,yes Pittsburgh,yes Jacksonville,yes Denver,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes New England,yes Cincinnati
    $20.50 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 31
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Will the 1st half score be Switzerland wins 1-0?
    $759.90 on Yes at 25¢, Jul 3
    +$2.3K
  3. 3
    Will the final score be France wins 1-0?
    $1.0K on Yes at 33¢, Jul 4
    +$2.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup?4¢20%-$187.43
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance20¢1014%-$535.66
Will the 1st half score be Switzerland wins 2-0?7¢30%-$281.66
Will the final score be Draw 3-3?8¢30%-$321.68
Will the final score be France wins 1-0?33¢5100%+$2.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$1.1K
May 2026-$46.87
Jul 2026-$1.0K
Aug 2026-$542.03
Sep 2026-$18.18
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Nov 2026-$11.02

Kalshi leaderboards

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