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Stats as of
russ.rule
-$2.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 418
- First Seen
- Jan 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In College basketball
- 16% won · 43 settled · +$171
russ.rule is a Kalshi trader with 418 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 137 wins and 241 losses on settled markets, -$2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Ararat-Armenia,no Torreense,no Stade Rennais,no Tie,yes Leverkusen,no Omonia Nicosia,no Be`er Sheva on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $51.0K
- Typical trade
- $22
- Avg entry
- 31¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,641
Profit over time
+$0-$5.7K
Jan 16Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1378%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢9330%32%+1 pts
40 to 60¢6850%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢4867%59%-9 pts
Over 80¢7289%75%-14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $510518%+$102
$5 to $2310539%-$326
$23 to $9610439%-$617
$96 to $3.5K10451%-$2.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays14229%-$2.1K
Soccer19947%-$852
Bitcoin2433%-$84
College basketball4916%+$171
NBA10%-$4
Other crypto30%-$1
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied russ.rule
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$542
Profit
on $4700 staked
18-29
Record
38% win rate
+12%
Return
+$542-$292
Jul 27Oct 19
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
187% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$3.4K won vs $2.9K lost
+6.1 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 32¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 24 trades
By category
sports43 settled+12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Ararat-Armenia,no Torreense,no Stade Rennais,no Tie,yes Leverkusen,no Omonia Nicosia,no Be`er Sheva
Oct 22
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CYDAFTH76CSUUIRJ-YG6ZW7SQA
Oct 22
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Aston Villa,no Lens,yes Inter,yes Real Madrid
Oct 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CYDAFTH76CSUUIRJ-YG6ZW7SQA$670 on Yes at 37¢, Oct 22
- 2+$1.1Kno Israel,yes Netherlands,no Norway,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$380 on Yes at 25¢, Oct 4
- 3+$882yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored$1.1K on Yes at 56¢, Jul 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202614DEF4141D2-EF32F3A003323¢20%-$759
yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: Dinamo Zagreb,yes Reg Time: Sturm Graz,yes Reg Time: Sabah Masazir,yes Reg Time: Mjallby3¢20%-$92
yes Reg Time: Crvena Zvezda,yes Reg Time: Fenerbahce,yes Reg Time: Vikingur Reykjavik,yes Reg Time: Slovan Bratislava,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored5¢20%-$164
no Belgium,yes Italy,no Romania,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored18¢20%-$378
yes France advances,no Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored71¢10%-$2.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$294
Feb 2026-$504
Mar 2026+$94
Apr 2026-$318
May 2026-$18
Jun 2026-$925
Jul 2026-$2.0K
Aug 2026+$14
Sep 2026-$1.6K
Oct 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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