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Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.
Stats as of
sad.firefly
- Tracked Trades
- 716
- First Seen
- May 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 64% won · 132 settled · +$681.87
sad.firefly is a Kalshi trader with 716 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 299 wins and 371 losses on settled markets, -$482.10 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $23.8K
- Typical trade
- $9.84
- Avg entry
- 38¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,925
Profit over time
Win rate against the odds
Results by bet size
Categories
Side taken
If you had copied sad.firefly
$100 per bet, last 90 days
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 141 trades
By category
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $0.52
The markets sad.firefly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Biggest wins
- 1+$522.12BTC price up in next 15 mins?$680.69 on Yes at 57¢, Nov 2
- 2+$419.27BTC price up in next 15 mins?$804.81 on No at 66¢, Nov 2
- 3+$297.77BTC price up in next 15 mins?$510.96 on No at 63¢, Nov 2
Most traded markets
When they trade
Activity, last 90 days
Profit by month
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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