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Stats as of

Kalshi

seoulmanhattan

+$92.64
Tracked Trades
892
First Seen
Aug 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
73% won · 206 settled · +$12.91

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active crypto traders who bet one side: iihslak, manimal2017, successful.koi2475

seoulmanhattan is a Kalshi trader with 892 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 152 wins and 58 losses on settled markets, $92.64 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26OCT31-7500000 on Oct 31.

Win rate
72%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$68.9K
Typical trade
$10.68
Avg entry
88¢
Kalshi rank
#4,795

Profit over time

+$636.00-$519.00
Aug 28Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3119%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢12627%21%-6 pts
40 to 60¢4849%22%-26 pts
60 to 80¢4471%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢36395%95%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $222334%-$18.99
$2 to $1122345%+$35.40
$11 to $4522381%+$175.47
$45 to $2.3K22397%-$99.24

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin77373%+$12.91
US politics22100%+$99.48
Solana10+$0.00
Ethereum25100%+$7.50
Fed and rates18+$0.00
World politics7+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 49%51% No

If you had copied seoulmanhattan

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,872.32
Profit
on $11,300.00 staked
73-40
Record
65% win rate
+17%
Return
26 still open
Profit over time113 settled trades
+$2.6K-$319.56
Aug 24Oct 26
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
1532% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.47×
Profit factor
$5.9K won vs $4.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 65¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
52 trades

By category

crypto107 settled+18%
other5 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $20.0K

The markets seoulmanhattan is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what seoulmanhattan is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
Oct 31, 32 fills
Yes20¢sold 19¢$1.52Exited
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
Oct 31, 18 fills
No94¢sold 99¢$2.4KExited
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Oct 31, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 11¢$55.00Exited
See every position across 144 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $553.08 on No at 70¢, Sep 10
    +$237.03
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $13.50 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 15
    +$236.50
  3. 3
    Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?
    $736.10 on No at 87¢, Sep 30
    +$110.47
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?71¢44562%-$680.54
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?94¢22+$0.00
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?95¢38+$0.00
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $100000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?95¢23+$0.00
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $97500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?97¢6100%+$21.14

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$46.97
Sep 2026+$66.80
Oct 2026-$21.13

Kalshi leaderboards

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