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Stats as of

sgmb49

+$3.3K
Tracked Trades
67
First Seen
Feb 1, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In US elections
87% won · 23 settled · +$3.9K

sgmb49 is a Kalshi trader with 67 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 28 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? on Nov 2.

Win rate
65%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$17.5K
Typical trade
$116.80
Avg entry
59¢
Kalshi rank
#1,906

Profit over time

+$3.3K+$0.00
Feb 1Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢712%67%+54 pts
20 to 40¢2030%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢1053%83%+31 pts
60 to 80¢1272%57%-15 pts
Over 80¢1891%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $601731%+$168.94
$60 to $1171762%+$627.91
$122 to $4151788%+$1.5K
$480 to $2.0K16100%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections3289%+$2.7K
World politics2742%-$100.06
NBA30%-$193.69
NFL2100%+$256.06
Parlays1+$0.00
Soccer2100%+$618.76

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied sgmb49

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$531.95
Profit
on $1,300.00 staked
11-2
Record
85% win rate
+41%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time13 settled trades
+$531.95+$0.00
Aug 10Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 13 so far.

By category

politics13 settled+41%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $2.6K

The markets sgmb49 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sgmb49 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Nov 2, 2 fills
No70¢$1.1K+$491.86
Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Oct 29, 5 fills
No97¢$2.0K+$68.18
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?
Oct 29, 8 fills
Yes96¢$1.0K+$43.64
See every position across 33 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?
    $283.20 on Yes at 16¢, Mar 5
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
    $191.04 on No at 33¢, Oct 27
    +$388.39
  3. 3
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $47.12 on Yes at 13¢, Jul 2
    +$318.15
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina?97¢1100%+$68.18
Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?16¢2100%+$1.5K
Will Carlos Álvarez win the next Peruvian presidential election?32¢20%-$320.00
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?70¢2100%+$491.86
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?96¢3100%+$43.64

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$263.42
Mar 2026+$1.5K
Apr 2026-$394.68
May 2026-$2.90
Jun 2026+$255.33
Jul 2026+$425.07
Aug 2026+$57.63
Oct 2026+$976.56
Nov 2026+$240.28

Kalshi leaderboards

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