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Stats as of

shelf.chaos

+$735.59
Tracked Trades
334
First Seen
Oct 23, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In Parlays
37% won · 63 settled · +$860.44

shelf.chaos is a Kalshi trader with 334 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 109 wins and 130 losses on settled markets, $735.59 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SHWB7EV65S2UZD35-RG4XW6SU2 on Oct 27.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$40.1K
Typical trade
$53.61
Avg entry
43¢
Kalshi rank
#4,012

Profit over time

+$2.2K-$573.00
Oct 23Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2415%14%-1 pts
20 to 40¢5633%36%+3 pts
40 to 60¢10050%46%-4 pts
60 to 80¢7970%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢7590%50%-40 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $348443%-$156.84
$34 to $548439%-$839.97
$54 to $1298350%+$819.37
$130 to $1.6K8358%+$913.03

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays9337%+$860.44
Soccer22247%-$62.39
NBA675%-$151.48
College football1364%+$89.02

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied shelf.chaos

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$569.41
Profit
on $15,700.00 staked
74-83
Record
47% win rate
+4%
Return
Profit over time157 settled trades
+$1.1K+$0.00
Oct 19Oct 26
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
69% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$8.9K won vs $8.3K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 47¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
21 trades

By category

sports157 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SHWB7EV65S2UZD35-RG4XW6SU2
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 86¢$1.6KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026547NBG6EJS6R2DA3-YSJYFCDKH
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 84¢$1.2KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263HZ4Z5VTYJD7W43V-HMYCWWPUC
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 82¢$1.1KExited
See every position across 161 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Seattle,yes Tie,yes Seattle,no Over 45.5 points
    $196.15 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 26
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    yes Ohio,yes Arizona St.,yes Louisiana Tech,yes Georgetown,yes Incarnate Word,yes Idaho St.,yes Colorado St.,yes Stephen F. Austin,yes Nevada,yes Louisiana-Monroe,yes Western Illinois,yes Utah Tech
    $94.47 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 24
    +$464.52
  3. 3
    no Over 49.5 points,no Over 53.5 points,no Over 59.5 points
    $115.50 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 25
    +$459.13
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Tie is the result50¢12947%+$663.49
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SHWB7EV65S2UZD35-RG4XW6SU21+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DFK2OBI5EDUAHDP7-7GHQVYN7N1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026547NBG6EJS6R2DA3-YSJYFCDKH1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ONEC46EN6T2OTWKD-Y74OUX7AL1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$735.59

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