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Stats as of

Kalshi

Sicario863

sicario863

+$3.9K
Tracked Trades
518
First Seen
Oct 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Parlays
7% won · 68 settled · +$2.6K

Sicario863 is a Kalshi trader with 518 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 117 wins and 245 losses on settled markets, $3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Cincinnati + Over 51.5 points on Nov 8.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+138%
Money traded
$6.0K
Typical trade
$2.84
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#1,881

Profit over time

+$3.9K-$979.00
Oct 23Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2205%10%+5 pts
20 to 40¢8630%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢8848%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢7069%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢5492%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $113041%+$9.86
$1 to $313025%+$65.52
$3 to $812942%+$2.6K
$8 to $1.1K12923%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football8030%-$764.27
Bitcoin10739%+$1.9K
Solana5536%+$377.85
Other crypto7038%+$22.78
Parlays609%+$2.6K
XRP9749%-$67.66

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied Sicario863

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$35,287.86
Profit
on $26,300.00 staked
72-191
Record
27% win rate
+134%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time263 settled trades
+$35.3K-$2.3K
Oct 19Nov 2
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
7.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.85×
Profit factor
$54.4K won vs $19.1K lost
+2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 25¢ avg
Longest losing streak
32
Deepest drawdown
194 trades

By category

sports109 settled+330%
crypto141 settled+3%
finance8 settled-74%
culture5 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $3.61

The markets Sicario863 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Sicario863 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Cincinnati + Over 51.5 points
Nov 8
Yes63¢$0.57-$0.57
Parlay: Dallas + Detroit + Kansas City
Nov 8
Yes40¢$0.48+$0.73
Parlay: Cincinnati + New Orleans + Carolina + Detroit + New England + Houston + Los Angeles R + San Francisco + Philadelphia + Kansas City + Chicago + Tyler Shough: 1+ + Kirk Cousins: 1+ + J.J. McCarthy: 1+ + Patrick Mahomes: 1+ + Geno Smith: 1+ + Shedeur Sanders: 125+ + Matthew Stafford: 175+ + Joe Milton III: 100+ + Patrick Mahomes: 150+ + Geno Smith: 125+ + Denzel Boston: 20+ + Devaughn Vele: 15+ + Ryan Flournoy: 15+ + Jalen Coker: 20+ + Amon-Ra St. Brown: 40+ + Tre Tucker: 20+ + Demarcus Robinson: 10+ + Not Seattle wins by over 17.5 points + Not Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points
Nov 8
Yes0¢$0.46-$0.46
See every position across 219 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Parlay: Cincinnati + New Orleans + Dallas + Denver + Detroit + Houston + Los Angeles R + New York G + Chicago + Seattle wins by over 6.5 points + San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points + Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points
    $9.26 on Yes at 0¢, Nov 8
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $132.34 on No at 6¢, Nov 6
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    SOL price on Nov 6, 2026?
    $36.84 on Yes at 8¢, Nov 6
    +$409.72
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2¢10240%+$1.9K
Tennessee wins32¢70%-$298.61
SOL price on Nov 6, 2026?9¢1240%+$351.78
SOL price up in next 15 mins?11¢3832%+$19.05
XRP price up in next 15 mins?6¢9749%-$67.66

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$779.97
Nov 2026+$4.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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