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Stats as of

SimulationLord

simulationlord

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
512
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In Tennis
25% won · 291 settled · +$1.7K

SimulationLord is a Kalshi trader with 512 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 79 wins and 269 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EIMGZCWLUNWO6Y27-2NUSUADS2 on Oct 18.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$48.0K
Typical trade
$16.18
Avg entry
16¢
Kalshi rank
#3,221

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$9.00
Aug 23Oct 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3029%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢4728%28%+0 pts
40 to 60¢2749%57%+8 pts
60 to 80¢4272%75%+3 pts
Over 80¢9493%95%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $912817%-$209.17
$9 to $1612815%+$309.06
$16 to $7712821%+$1.1K
$78 to $1.6K12858%+$344.44

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis44225%+$1.7K
Parlays360%-$288.72
College football1211%-$104.25
NFL760%+$229.33
Soccer20%-$23.03
Bitcoin1230%-$24.41

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied SimulationLord

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,392.37
Profit
on $34,100.00 staked
78-263
Record
23% win rate
+13%
Return
Profit over time341 settled trades
+$6.0K-$200.00
Aug 17Oct 12
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
60% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$30.7K won vs $26.3K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 20¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
54 trades

By category

sports326 settled+15%
culture6 settled+2%
crypto9 settled-49%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EIMGZCWLUNWO6Y27-2NUSUADS2
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.4KExited
yes Yuka Matsumoto,yes Cruz Azul,yes Toluca,yes Illinois St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Louisiana Tech,yes Ohio,yes Tulsa,yes Louisiana,yes New Mexico,yes Utah,yes Wake Forest,yes Tennessee,yes Tarleton St.,yes Stanford,yes Miami (FL),yes Alabama A&M,yes Southeastern Louisiana,yes Mercer,yes Tennessee St.,yes Montana St.,yes Notre Dame,yes North Dakota St.,yes Wyoming,yes Northern Arizona,yes Michigan,yes South Dakota,yes San Jose St.,yes North Carolina,yes Youngstown St.,yes San Diego,yes Oregon St.
Oct 17
Yes1¢$9.28-$9.28
yes Botafogo,yes Cruz Azul,yes Toluca,yes Miami (OH),yes Virginia Tech,yes Illinois St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Ole Miss,yes Louisiana,yes Tennessee,yes Alabama St.,yes Georgia,yes Tarleton St.,yes Bethune-Cookman,yes Jackson St.,yes Miami (FL),yes Alabama A&M,yes Southeastern Louisiana,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes North Dakota St.,yes Wyoming,yes Northern Arizona,yes Michigan,yes South Dakota,yes Youngstown St.,yes Air Force,yes San Diego,yes Villanova,yes Oregon St.
Oct 17
Yes1¢$9.35-$9.35
See every position across 343 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Jacob Fearnley wins
    $93.83 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 31
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Miguel Tobon wins
    $24.20 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 8
    +$580.80
  3. 3
    Francesca Pace wins
    $42.31 on Yes at 9¢, Aug 29
    +$441.23
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Olivia Gram wins39¢20%-$479.52
yes Carlo Alberto Caniato,yes Max Wiskandt,yes Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich,yes Felipe De Dios,yes Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity,yes Lorenzo Claverie,yes Alex Hernandez,yes Yannik Kelm,yes Pepijn Bastiaansen,yes Dominick Mosejczuk,yes Mwendwa Mbithi,yes Juan Sebastian Osorio,yes Theo Papamalamis,yes Johan Alexander Rodriguez,yes Cosme Rolland de Ravel,yes Ignacio Monzon,yes Zsombor Velcz,yes Dana Guzman,yes Mimi Xu,yes Kristina Penickova,yes Kristina Liutova,yes Madison Brengle,yes Sydney Jara,yes Hina Inoue,yes Jamilah Snells,yes Sara Saito,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 26.5 points,yes Over 25.5 points,yes Arsenal,yes Iga Swiatek,yes Iva Jovic,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Katie Volynets1¢20%-$9.34
yes Junior,yes Independ. Santa Fe,yes West Ham,yes QPR,yes Pedro Sakamoto,yes Nicolas Bruna,yes Ana Sofia Sanchez,yes Miami,yes Liverpool,yes Aston Villa,yes Real Madrid,yes Stuttgart1¢20%-$9.54
Andres Andrade wins46¢850%+$474.35
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EIMGZCWLUNWO6Y27-2NUSUADS21+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.7K
Sep 2026-$552.33
Oct 2026+$342.45

Kalshi leaderboards

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