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Stats as of

smart.green

-$3
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
May 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 19, 2026
Best In Parlays
10% won · 10 settled · +$81

smart.green is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 321 wins and 482 losses on settled markets, -$3 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Matthew Golden,yes Jake Ferguson: 1+ on Oct 19.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$4.7K
Typical trade
$1
Avg entry
6¢
Kalshi rank
#4,055

Profit over time

+$66-$529
May 18Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1859%6%-3 pts
20 to 40¢17328%13%-15 pts
40 to 60¢21750%46%-4 pts
60 to 80¢28268%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢14388%91%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125019%-$26
$1 to $125057%-$12
$1 to $225047%-$66
$2 to $80725036%+$101

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather88840%-$326
US elections4221%-$18
Soccer70%-$184
Hockey60%-$11
Parlays1010%+$81
Mentions4178%-$4

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied smart.green

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2563
Profit
on $4000 staked
23-17
Record
57% win rate
+64%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time40 settled trades
+$2.8K+$0
Sep 14Oct 19
-$792
Max drawdown
24% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.51×
Profit factor
$4.3K won vs $1.7K lost
+5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
9 trades

By category

sports15 settled+143%
culture23 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

18 open positions worth $43

The markets smart.green is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smart.green is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Matthew Golden,yes Jake Ferguson: 1+
Oct 19
Yes1¢$8-$8
yes CeeDee Lamb: 1+,yes Dak Prescott: 1+,yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes MarShawn Lloyd: 1+
Oct 19
Yes1¢$47-$47
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?
Oct 18, 3 fills
No90¢$6+$1
See every position across 267 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Sean Sharaf wins
    $38 on Yes at 10¢, Sep 19
    +$339
  2. 2
    yes Arizona,yes Green Bay,yes Kansas City,yes San Francisco
    $9 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 18
    +$219
  3. 3
    Will the **high temp in LA** be 69-70° on Jun 16, 2026?
    $137 on Yes at 60¢, Jun 16
    +$92
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the **high temp in LA** be <72° on Jun 13, 2026?3¢129%-$33
Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?95¢9100%+$17
Will the **high temp in LA** be 69-70° on Jun 16, 2026?59¢2294%+$90
Will the **high temp in LA** be 72-73° on Jun 13, 2026?20¢2122%-$28
Will drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026?47¢1150%+$35

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 22Oct 19

Profit by month

May 2026-$293
Jun 2026-$40
Jul 2026-$196
Sep 2026+$389
Oct 2026+$138

Kalshi leaderboards

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