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Stats as of
smooth.dad45
+$959.25
- Tracked Trades
- 43
- First Seen
- Jan 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
smooth.dad45 is a Kalshi trader with 43 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $959.25 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Real Madrid + Liverpool + Manchester City + Arsenal on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $35.3K
- Typical trade
- $731.25
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,783
Profit over time
+$11.2K-$214.00
Jan 11Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢298%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1030%50%+20 pts
40 to 60¢148%0%-48 pts
60 to 80¢165%100%+35 pts
Over 80¢287%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1441120%-$332.12
$188 to $7311127%-$227.97
$735 to $8601127%-$173.00
$892 to $8.8K1030%+$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3521%-$668.20
Soccer20%-$1.1K
College football2100%+$2.9K
NFL367%-$15.95
Mentions10%-$71.04
Side taken
Yes 100%0% No
If you had copied smooth.dad45
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$194.12
Profit
on $3,500.00 staked
8-27
Record
23% win rate
+6%
Return
+$871.69+$0.00
Oct 12Nov 2
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
95% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$2.9K won vs $2.7K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 16 trades
By category
sports22 settled+22%
other13 settled-23%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Real Madrid + Liverpool + Manchester City + Arsenal
Nov 4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264HQRPO5OJD6BTY4N-ULB6HSFUH
Nov 1
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026QUUPELUASWYWCG3T-F7DOBVHX6
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.3KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OPMMXX4YS3QJVLY7-44MKFHFHP$1.0K on Yes at 10¢, Oct 20
- 2+$8.5KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GWDPJGTGJW2CYWUG-Y74IMYRG7$1.4K on Yes at 14¢, Oct 18
- 3+$4.4KParlay: Denver + Golden State$735.46 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 31
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BEYLPUZHOHBB2NNT-L4PPP57WM35¢10%-$8.8K
yes Club Atletico La Paz,yes Golden State,yes Carol Young Suh Lee,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich,yes Alexandra Shubladze85¢1100%+$324.06
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264HQRPO5OJD6BTY4N-ULB6HSFUH16¢10%-$1.6K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202623LXZRKCOHKUTKX5-WDFQUIQJ316¢10%-$1.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GWDPJGTGJW2CYWUG-Y74IMYRG714¢1100%+$8.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$86.99
Jun 2026-$126.52
Oct 2026+$5.0K
Nov 2026-$3.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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