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Stats as of
smooth.soap
-$16.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 32
- First Seen
- Jan 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
smooth.soap is a Kalshi trader with 32 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, -$16.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- -20%
- Money traded
- $122.6K
- Typical trade
- $4.1K
- Avg entry
- 53¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,177
Profit over time
+$12.4K-$16.6K
Jan 21Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢312%
20 to 40¢627%25%-2 pts
40 to 60¢751%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢1168%45%-23 pts
Over 80¢594%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$50 to $2.0K833%-$2.3K
$2.7K to $3.8K860%+$11.5K
$4.4K to $4.9K829%-$21.9K
$4.9K to $11K875%-$3.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis1275%-$2.9K
College basketball1129%+$1.2K
NBA740%-$12.4K
Commodities20%-$2.4K
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied smooth.soap
$100 per bet, last 90 days
Not enough settled trades to score yet
1 of 5 needed have resolved. 2 still open.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 3 fills
Lipscomb at Stetson Winner?
Jan 22, 54 fills
Will Tomas Machac win the Machac vs Tsitsipas : Round Of 64 match?
Jan 22
Biggest wins
- 1+$13.2KUNLV at Utah St. Winner?$3.5K on Yes at 21¢, Jan 21
- 2+$3.1KSan Diego St. at Grand Canyon Winner?$3.2K on Yes at 51¢, Jan 22
- 3+$3.1KWill Mikhail Kukushkin win the Kukushkin vs Lajal : Round Of 16 match?$5.0K on Yes at 62¢, Jan 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Mark Lajal win the Kukushkin vs Lajal : Round Of 16 match?68¢30%-$13.1K
Toronto at Sacramento Winner?63¢40%-$14.6K
Will Nuno Borges win the Thompson vs Borges : Round Of 64 match?76¢2100%+$1.5K
Will Corentin Moutet win the Zheng vs Moutet : Round Of 64 match?92¢2100%+$422.40
San Diego St. at Grand Canyon Winner?51¢2100%+$3.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$14.1K
Nov 2026-$2.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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