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Stats as of

spontaneous.buck7635

-$2.6K
Tracked Trades
292
First Seen
Jun 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026

spontaneous.buck7635 is a Kalshi trader with 292 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 206 losses on settled markets, -$2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026B0F6667DBFA-4669C0D7029 on Oct 18.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$102.5K
Typical trade
$235.09
Avg entry
14¢
Kalshi rank
#6,088

Profit over time

+$3.4K-$6.1K
Jun 24Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17611%10%+0 pts
20 to 40¢5828%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢3250%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢1273%78%+5 pts
Over 80¢1490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1367324%+$993.06
$139 to $2357311%-$5.7K
$235 to $4697322%-$570.38
$469 to $5.4K7335%+$2.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays28721%-$3.4K
Soccer475%+$649.02
Baseball1100%+$121.52

Side taken

Yes 91%9% No

If you had copied spontaneous.buck7635

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$352.34
Profit
on $17,900.00 staked
41-138
Record
23% win rate
+2%
Return
Profit over time179 settled trades
+$2.0K+$0.00
Aug 10Oct 5
-$2.9K
Max drawdown
123% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$14.2K won vs $13.8K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
103 trades

By category

sports30 settled+8%
other148 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026B0F6667DBFA-4669C0D7029
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 82¢$917.83Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C0D6DBE5562-691B7890092
Oct 11
Yes31¢$667.60-$667.60
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20261BE4AD73E63-102820C6D12
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 78¢$1.4KExited
See every position across 265 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CC7123EE18A-CB355ACCDF4
    $943.95 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 30
    +$5.0K
  2. 2
    yes Los Angeles D,yes Jac Caglianone: 1+,yes Starling Marte: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 1+
    $376.31 on Yes at 11¢, Aug 13
    +$3.1K
  3. 3
    yes Tarik Skubal: 5+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 5+,no Over 0.5 runs,no Over 0.5 runs,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored
    $282.03 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 3
    +$2.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CC7123EE18A-CB355ACCDF416¢2100%+$5.0K
yes Houston,yes New York Y,yes San Diego19¢20%-$437.94
yes Kansas City,yes Chicago C,yes Houston,yes Colorado,yes San Diego57¢20%-$970.90
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202689B1307E13F-BD4E80E2CAA1+$0.00
yes Cleveland,yes Atlanta,yes Milwaukee,yes Detroit10¢20%-$235.08

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$259.32
Jul 2026-$2.0K
Aug 2026+$2.5K
Sep 2026-$2.4K
Oct 2026-$973.31

Kalshi leaderboards

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