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Stats as of

stormy.swordtail

+$1.7K
Tracked Trades
617
First Seen
Jun 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In Parlays
11% won ยท 524 settled ยท +$2.3K

stormy.swordtail is a Kalshi trader with 617 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 487 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes AJ Dybantsa: 10+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Paul George: 15+,yes Caleb Wilson: 15+,yes Jamal Murray: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 15+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Jonathan Kuminga: 10+,yes Stephen Curry: 15+,yes Austin Reaves: 15+,yes Luka Donฤiฤ‡: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Joel Embiid: 15+,yes LeBron James: 10+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 20+,yes Franz Wagner: 15+,yes Immanuel Quickley: 10+,yes RJ Barrett: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+ on Oct 30.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$45.7K
Typical trade
$18.78
Avg entry
5ยข
Kalshi rank
#3,121

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$2.1K
Jun 13Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข4796%8%+1 pts
20 to 40ยข6027%19%-8 pts
40 to 60ยข3149%57%+8 pts
60 to 80ยข866%25%-41 pts
Over 80ยข3997%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $91555%+$830.21
$9 to $191549%+$1.6K
$19 to $4715411%-$170.04
$47 to $3.1K15423%-$552.59

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays57511%+$2.4K
Soccer200%-$286.58
Tennis725%-$73.65
NFL40%-$265.96
College football714%-$31.39
Mentions20%-$23.45

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied stormy.swordtail

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$10,245.05
Profit
on $35,000.00 staked
21-329
Record
6% win rate
+29%
Return
Profit over time350 settled trades
+$10.2K-$11.3K
Sep 21Oct 26
-$17.1K
Max drawdown
749% below peak
0.6ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.31ร—
Profit factor
$43.1K won vs $32.9K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 7ยข avg
Longest losing streak
93
Deepest drawdown
258 trades

By category

sports350 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes AJ Dybantsa: 10+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Paul George: 15+,yes Caleb Wilson: 15+,yes Jamal Murray: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 15+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Jonathan Kuminga: 10+,yes Stephen Curry: 15+,yes Austin Reaves: 15+,yes Luka Donฤiฤ‡: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Joel Embiid: 15+,yes LeBron James: 10+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 20+,yes Franz Wagner: 15+,yes Immanuel Quickley: 10+,yes RJ Barrett: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+
Oct 30
Yes2ยข$9.33-$9.33
yes Elversberg,yes Mยดgladbach,yes Bayern Munich,yes Freiburg,yes Leipzig,no Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Espanyol,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Bologna
Oct 30
Yes1ยข$9.30-$9.30
yes Bournemouth,yes Brentford,yes Chelsea,yes Espanyol,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bologna
Oct 30
Yes1ยข$9.31+$1.4K
See every position across 524 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Bayern Munich,yes Chelsea,no Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Real Sociedad wins 1st Half,yes Real Madrid,yes Real Sociedad,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Marseille,yes Stade Rennais,no Lorient wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Juventus,no Juventus wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Milan wins by more than 2.5 goals
    $18.64 on Yes at 1ยข, Oct 25
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    yes France,yes Italy,yes Sweden,yes Spain,yes England,no Bosnia and Herzegovina wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Montenegro wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Georgia wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Sweden wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Ukraine wins by more than 1.5 goals
    $305.34 on Yes at 16ยข, Oct 5
    +$1.6K
  3. 3
    yes Bournemouth,yes Brentford,yes Chelsea,yes Espanyol,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bologna
    $9.31 on Yes at 1ยข, Oct 30
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Brazil,yes Pittsburgh,yes Philadelphia,yes France,yes Sweden,yes Bulgaria,yes England,yes Finland,yes Slovenia,yes Albania,yes Slovakia,no Turkiye wins by more than 2.5 goals1ยข20%-$18.44
yes Tie,yes Italy,yes Sweden,yes Spain,yes England,no Bosnia and Herzegovina wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Montenegro wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Georgia wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Sweden wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Ukraine wins by more than 1.5 goals13ยข30%-$216.85
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20260173A3213F1-A690CEDFDA71+$0.00
yes Victor Barreira Bonzom,yes Daniel Salazar,yes Cadence Brace,yes Oceane Dodin,yes Kate Fakih,yes Thea Frodin,yes Emma Kamper,yes Anastasia Abbagnato,yes Kajsa Rinaldo Persson,yes Mimi Xu11ยข30%-$139.21
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264BC4946B459-D294FB846D61+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$90.96
Jul 2026-$134.12
Sep 2026+$443.92
Oct 2026+$1.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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