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Stats as of
supposed.lobster7815
+$1.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 94
- First Seen
- Jun 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 73 settled · +$1.3K
supposed.lobster7815 is a Kalshi trader with 94 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 74 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ID6RSUI53W5QVPY3-PISJF2QVP on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 9%
- Return on settled
- +56%
- Money traded
- $22.6K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,507
Profit over time
+$1.0K-$334
Jun 23Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢713%8%+5 pts
20 to 40¢833%13%-20 pts
40 to 60¢245%0%-45 pts
Over 80¢1396%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5244%+$249
$5 to $92413%+$699
$9 to $412310%+$369
$47 to $12K238%-$283
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays848%+$1.3K
Soccer1013%-$228
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied supposed.lobster7815
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$23861
Profit
on $6600 staked
6-60
Record
9% win rate
+362%
Return
+$23.9K-$673
Sep 21Oct 12
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
168% below peak
7.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.98×
Profit factor
$29.9K won vs $6.0K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
9% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 34
- Deepest drawdown
- 34 trades
By category
sports66 settled+362%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ID6RSUI53W5QVPY3-PISJF2QVP
Oct 17
no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Aston Villa,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Bilbao,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored
Oct 17
yes Bayern Munich,yes Aston Villa,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Tie,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Inter
Oct 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$927yes Mexico,yes Morocco,yes Brazil,yes Switzerland$139 on Yes at 13¢, Jun 24
- 2+$584yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Omonia Nicosia,yes Ferencvarosi,yes Leverkusen,yes Lyon,yes Olympiacos,yes Milan,yes Juventus,yes Stade Rennais,yes Besiktas,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored$5 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 15
- 3+$523yes Argentina,yes Brazil,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes England,yes Spain,yes Iceland,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$28 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Alkmaar,yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Omonia Nicosia,yes Ferencvarosi,yes Leverkusen,yes Lyon,yes Marseille,yes Milan,yes Juventus,yes Stade Rennais,yes Sparta Prague,yes Sunderland,yes Besiktas,yes Real Sociedad0¢20%-$4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ID6RSUI53W5QVPY3-PISJF2QVP1+$0
yes Stuttgart,yes Dortmund,yes Leverkusen,yes Liverpool,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Aston Villa,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Villarreal,yes PSG0¢20%-$3
yes Bayern Munich,yes Mainz,yes Elversberg,yes Paderborn,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Manchester City,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes PSG,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Venezia,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 1.5 goals scored0¢20%-$3
yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Omonia Nicosia,yes Ferencvarosi,yes Leverkusen,yes Lyon,yes Olympiacos,yes Milan,yes Juventus,yes Stade Rennais,yes Besiktas,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored1¢2100%+$584
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$334
Sep 2026+$110
Oct 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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