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Stats as of
red.guard
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 346
- First Seen
- Nov 22, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 0% won · 322 settled · +$1.0K
red.guard is a Kalshi trader with 346 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 322 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Atlanta,yes Milwaukee,yes Indiana,yes Miami,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes Golden State,yes Minnesota,yes Utah,yes Boston,yes Portland,yes Toronto,yes Montreal on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 1%
- Return on settled
- +64%
- Money traded
- $83.2K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 0¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,515
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$1.6K
Nov 22Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3211%0%-1 pts
20 to 40¢332%50%+18 pts
40 to 60¢153%0%-53 pts
60 to 80¢167%
Over 80¢2099%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4871%+$2.7K
$4 to $5870%-$395
$5 to $6861%-$388
$6 to $16K860%-$796
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3400%+$1.2K
NBA250%+$3
Economic data10%-$5
US politics20%-$5
Weather10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied red.guard
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$53867
Profit
on $12800 staked
1-127
Record
1% win rate
+421%
Return
+$53.9K-$10.7K
Jul 27Oct 19
-$11.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.24×
Profit factor
$66.6K won vs $12.7K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
1% won at 1¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 119
- Deepest drawdown
- 119 trades
By category
sports128 settled+421%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Atlanta,yes Milwaukee,yes Indiana,yes Miami,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes Golden State,yes Minnesota,yes Utah,yes Boston,yes Portland,yes Toronto,yes Montreal
Oct 23
yes Atlanta,yes Milwaukee,yes Indiana,yes Miami,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes Golden State,yes Minnesota,yes New Orleans,yes Boston,yes Portland,yes Toronto
Oct 23
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes James Madison,yes Liberty,yes Chicago,yes Carolina,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles,yes Calgary,yes Toronto,yes Utah,yes St. Louis,yes Winnipeg
Oct 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9Kyes Atlanta,yes Charlotte,yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles L,yes Indiana,yes Washington,yes Minnesota,yes Portland,yes Los Angeles C,yes Memphis,yes Ottawa,yes Philadelphia,yes Atlanta$4 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 22
- 2+$12Philadelphia wins by over 8.5 points?$5 on Yes at 27¢, Apr 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes New Jersey,yes Detroit,yes New York I,yes Minnesota,yes Boston,yes New York R,yes Ottawa,yes Utah,yes Vegas,yes Dallas,yes Montreal0¢30%-$27
yes Oklahoma City,yes New York,yes New York I,yes Boston,yes Carolina,yes Colorado,yes Detroit,yes Washington,yes Edmonton,yes Montreal,yes Vegas,yes Columbus,yes Winnipeg0¢30%-$9
yes San Antonio,yes Philadelphia,yes New York I,yes Boston,yes Carolina,yes Colorado,yes Detroit,yes Washington,yes Edmonton,yes Montreal,yes Vegas,yes Columbus,yes Winnipeg0¢20%-$4
yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Kansas City,yes New Orleans,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Carolina,yes Minnesota0¢20%-$4
yes Oklahoma City,yes New York,yes New York I,yes Boston,yes Vancouver,yes New Jersey,yes Detroit,yes Washington,yes Edmonton,yes Montreal,yes Vegas,yes Toronto,yes Winnipeg0¢20%-$5
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$9
Mar 2026-$126
Apr 2026-$339
May 2026-$231
Jun 2026-$107
Jul 2026-$70
Aug 2026-$66
Sep 2026-$346
Oct 2026+$2.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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