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Stats as of

th123

+$14.7K
Tracked Trades
375
First Seen
Nov 6, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
72% won ยท 50 settled ยท +$10.3K

th123 is a Kalshi trader with 375 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 92 wins and 143 losses on settled markets, $14.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sofia Carez wins on Oct 26.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$114.6K
Typical trade
$9.72
Avg entry
20ยข
Kalshi rank
#440

Profit over time

+$14.7K+$0.00
Nov 6Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1375%6%+1 pts
20 to 40ยข2229%42%+13 pts
40 to 60ยข1348%67%+19 pts
60 to 80ยข3270%80%+10 pts
Over 80ยข17191%90%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $59413%-$241.06
$5 to $109456%-$25.11
$10 to $969444%+$3.3K
$98 to $11K9348%+$11.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin10672%+$10.3K
Soccer4922%+$1.4K
Parlays13510%+$1.8K
Tennis5100%+$370.90
Ethereum15100%+$926.13
Solana4286%+$10.38

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied th123

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,570.58
Profit
on $10,100.00 staked
14-87
Record
14% win rate
-35%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time101 settled trades
+$401.52-$6.3K
Jul 27Oct 26
-$7.2K
Max drawdown
1426% below peak
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59ร—
Profit factor
$5.1K won vs $8.7K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 11ยข avg
Longest losing streak
64
Deepest drawdown
79 trades

By category

sports101 settled-35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $1.0K

The markets th123 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what th123 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Sofia Carez wins
Oct 26
Sold Nosold 78ยข$1.3KExited
Lois Bernstein wins
Oct 26
Yes94ยข$1.2K+$77.76
Xi Luo wins
Oct 26, 4 fills
Yes95ยข$2.5K+$129.44
See every position across 260 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Bitcoin be below $60000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
    $18.3K on Yes at 64ยข, Apr 2
    +$10.4K
  2. 2
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $750.56 on Yes at 13ยข, Jul 1
    +$5.2K
  3. 3
    no Tie,no Tie,yes Wolverhampton,no Tie,yes Atletico,no Tie,yes PSG,yes Movistar KOI,yes G2 Esports,yes Invictus Gaming,yes Bilibili Gaming,yes Inter
    $93.48 on Yes at 3ยข, Oct 24
    +$2.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?5ยข17+$0.00
Will Bitcoin be below $60000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?64ยข8100%+$10.4K
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?75ยข6+$0.00
KXBTCMINY-27JAN01-55000.001+$0.00
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?12ยข30%-$806.26

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$881.88
Jan 2026+$7.5K
Feb 2026+$2.5K
Mar 2026+$2.35
Apr 2026+$432.93
Jun 2026-$11.79
Jul 2026+$1.5K
Aug 2026-$408.29
Oct 2026+$2.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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