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Stats as of
wrong.fear
+$14.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 708
- First Seen
- Dec 9, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 20% won · 576 settled · +$15.2K
wrong.fear is a Kalshi trader with 708 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 139 wins and 513 losses on settled markets, $14.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267KRYJOCTESTGLBFA-5U42GBB4Y on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 21%
- Return on settled
- +31%
- Money traded
- $63.3K
- Typical trade
- $18.86
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #447
Profit over time
+$17.9K-$252.00
Dec 9Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4107%10%+3 pts
20 to 40¢13230%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢11448%43%-5 pts
60 to 80¢2366%56%-10 pts
Over 80¢2993%50%-43 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $717717%-$82.41
$7 to $1917713%+$414.28
$19 to $7117723%+$4.3K
$71 to $2.4K17733%+$10.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays60620%+$15.2K
Soccer5528%-$168.68
Bitcoin2850%-$103.67
WNBA560%-$116.49
Baseball433%-$48.44
NFL50%-$21.19
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied wrong.fear
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$411.46
Profit
on $25,400.00 staked
52-202
Record
20% win rate
-2%
Return
+$2.7K-$3.4K
Jul 27Oct 5
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
115% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$19.8K won vs $20.2K lost
-1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 21
- Deepest drawdown
- 106 trades
By category
crypto9 settled+5%
sports245 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267KRYJOCTESTGLBFA-5U42GBB4Y
Oct 20
yes Houston,yes C.J. Stroud: 200+,yes LV Raiders over 10.5 points
Oct 11, 2 fills
yes Jacksonville,yes Trevor Lawrence: 175+,yes Jalen Hurts: 15+,yes Both Teams To Score
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.5Kyes Portugal advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: Switzerland,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored$676.14 on Yes at 7¢, Jul 2
- 2+$4.5Kyes Morocco advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes 9+ corners$873.45 on Yes at 16¢, Jun 30
- 3+$3.0Kyes Portugal advances,yes Switzerland advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: Spain,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored$471.44 on Yes at 14¢, Jul 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored45¢10%-$2.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AD681A03893-85CAEC02B2D1+$0.00
England vs Congo DR Winner?36¢30%-$938.93
yes Reg Time: Morocco,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored40¢4100%+$2.7K
yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes 7+ corners,no Goal Diff Reg Time: Belgium wins by more than 1.5 goals47¢20%-$881.32
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$9.21
Jan 2026-$53.53
Feb 2026+$39.48
Mar 2026-$45.25
Apr 2026-$66.04
May 2026-$62.76
Jun 2026+$11.0K
Jul 2026+$3.6K
Aug 2026+$1.3K
Sep 2026-$1.1K
Oct 2026+$148.91
Kalshi leaderboards
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