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Stats as of
thatguy4
+$8.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 736
- First Seen
- Oct 31, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In College football
- 41% won · 91 settled · +$5.0K
thatguy4 is a Kalshi trader with 736 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 186 wins and 454 losses on settled markets, $8.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RLBDCMC6RVR5TI3Z-OYCGS55TZ on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $89.5K
- Typical trade
- $59.69
- Avg entry
- 29¢
- Kalshi rank
- #929
Profit over time
+$8.9K-$2.0K
Oct 31Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22311%10%-1 pts
20 to 40¢22528%26%-2 pts
40 to 60¢19349%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢6568%65%-3 pts
Over 80¢3089%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3318421%-$654.52
$34 to $5918425%-$266.39
$60 to $9918428%-$2.4K
$100 to $2.4K18446%+$12.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays39117%+$337.55
College football10141%+$5.0K
NBA6957%+$2.7K
Baseball3050%+$848.05
College basketball7930%-$1.1K
NFL4144%+$881.50
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied thatguy4
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$536.00
Profit
on $13,900.00 staked
52-87
Record
37% win rate
+4%
Return
+$854.31-$262.84
Sep 14Nov 2
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
116% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$9.2K won vs $8.7K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 36 trades
By category
sports137 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RLBDCMC6RVR5TI3Z-OYCGS55TZ
Nov 4
Washington wins
Nov 2
Full Game: Over 53.5 points scored
Oct 31, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8KFull Game: Over 53.5 points scored$2.4K on Yes at 46¢, Oct 31
- 2+$1.4KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RLBDCMC6RVR5TI3Z-OYCGS55TZ$529.53 on Yes at 27¢, Nov 4
- 3+$1.3Kyes Taj Bradley: 4+,yes José Soriano: 4+,yes Cam Schlittler: 4+$1.2K on Yes at 49¢, Apr 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
New York Y vs Boston Winner?76¢4100%+$501.86
Full Game: Over 53.5 points scored46¢1100%+$2.8K
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT29FAUUNT-UNT1063¢1100%+$1.2K
Full Game: Over 54.5 points scored51¢2100%+$836.03
Chicago WS wins45¢667%+$793.62
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$357.26
Dec 2025-$554.15
Jan 2026-$156.68
Feb 2026+$89.47
Mar 2026+$153.45
Apr 2026+$2.9K
May 2026-$1.7K
Jun 2026-$1.7K
Jul 2026-$37.38
Sep 2026-$222.19
Oct 2026+$8.2K
Nov 2026+$2.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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