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Stats as of

AvidSmores

avidsmores

+$83.0K
Tracked Trades
46,212
First Seen
Aug 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In College football
82% won · 3,421 settled · +$124.8K

AvidSmores is a Kalshi trader with 46,212 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9,387 wins and 5,310 losses on settled markets, $83.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027? on Oct 22.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$6.2M
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
48¢
Kalshi rank
#35

Profit over time

+$124.8K-$27.2K
Aug 18Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢103548%9%+0 pts
20 to 40¢784929%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢730450%51%+2 pts
60 to 80¢651770%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢1418892%95%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $31155355%-$113
$3 to $151155356%-$1.0K
$15 to $721155366%+$4.6K
$72 to $42K1155373%+$79.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis881248%+$9.0K
College football776682%+$124.8K
NFL611676%+$22.0K
Soccer623556%-$16.3K
Baseball460344%-$26.2K
Basketball420354%-$585

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied AvidSmores

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$11052
Profit
on $1469700 staked
9387-5310
Record
64% win rate
-1%
Return
418 still open
Profit over time14697 settled trades
+$73.7K-$11.1K
Aug 17Oct 19
-$107.5K
Max drawdown
128% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$519.9K won vs $531.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 64¢ avg
Longest losing streak
76
Deepest drawdown
8446 trades

By category

other4800 settled+6%
culture161 settled+2%
sports8620 settled-3%
politics68 settled-4%
crypto1046 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

39 open positions worth $151.2K

The markets AvidSmores is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what AvidSmores is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
Oct 22, 706 fills
No96¢sold 97¢$154Exited
Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC North Division?
Oct 21, 20 fills
No89¢sold 89¢$1.4KExited
LASK wins
Oct 21, 15 fills
Sold Yessold 74¢$4.5KExited
See every position across 3,376 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Georgia Tech wins
    $13.9K on No at 13¢, Sep 4
    +$90.8K
  2. 2
    Michigan wins
    $4.7K on No at 15¢, Sep 26
    +$27.1K
  3. 3
    GB Packers wins by over 7.5 points?
    $35.0K on No at 64¢, Sep 25
    +$19.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?59¢350460%-$1.9K
Georgia Tech wins34¢20886%+$61.0K
Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC North Division?24¢269+$0
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?57¢47339%-$2.8K
GB Packers wins by over 7.5 points?46¢14356%+$16.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$9.5K
Sep 2026+$123.4K
Oct 2026-$30.9K

Kalshi leaderboards

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