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Stats as of
theoretical.turkey3943
+$13.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 685
- First Seen
- Jun 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 51% won · 73 settled · +$16.4K
theoretical.turkey3943 is a Kalshi trader with 685 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 82 wins and 495 losses on settled markets, $13.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Milan on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 14%
- Return on settled
- +19%
- Money traded
- $236.0K
- Typical trade
- $28.00
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #531
Profit over time
+$17.0K-$219.00
Jun 20Oct 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4614%5%+1 pts
20 to 40¢6529%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢4448%58%+9 pts
60 to 80¢4470%79%+9 pts
Over 80¢7194%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $71729%-$382.30
$7 to $281714%-$962.87
$28 to $9417113%-$2.5K
$94 to $15K17143%+$17.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5658%-$3.4K
Soccer10651%+$16.4K
Baseball750%+$228.90
WNBA450%-$64.54
Golf20%-$0.94
Bitcoin10%-$0.80
Side taken
Yes 85%15% No
If you had copied theoretical.turkey3943
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$8,604.77
Profit
on $31,600.00 staked
32-284
Record
10% win rate
-27%
Return
+$4.9K-$8.6K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$14.9K
Max drawdown
270% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$19.8K won vs $28.4K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 7¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 99
- Deepest drawdown
- 241 trades
By category
other150 settled+22%
sports166 settled-72%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Milan
Oct 25
no Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 25
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Real Madrid,yes Atletico,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Toulouse,yes Marseille,yes PSG,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Milan,yes Lazio
Oct 25
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.4KSwitzerland vs Canada Winner?$4.8K on Yes at 47¢, Jun 24
- 2+$4.4Kyes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Manchester City,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Lazio,yes Indiana,yes Las Vegas$469.96 on Yes at 10¢, Aug 28
- 3+$4.1KWill the final score be France wins 1-0?$1.5K on Yes at 27¢, Jul 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored14¢30%-$2.1K
yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Atletico,yes Villarreal,yes Real Madrid,yes Toulouse,yes Marseille,yes Nashville,yes Lazio1¢20%-$92.65
yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,no Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored8¢30%-$1.0K
Switzerland vs Canada Winner?47¢3100%+$5.4K
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Real Madrid,yes Atletico,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Toulouse,yes Marseille,yes PSG,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Milan,yes Lazio1¢20%-$46.61
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$11.7K
Jul 2026+$1.9K
Aug 2026+$2.4K
Sep 2026-$1.0K
Oct 2026-$1.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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