rivomarkets

Stats as of

sturdy.locust3309

+$289
Tracked Trades
523
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026

sturdy.locust3309 is a Kalshi trader with 523 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $289 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 15.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$107.6K
Typical trade
$21
Avg entry
50¢
Kalshi rank
#4,061

Profit over time

+$289+$0
Sep 17Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢21112%
20 to 40¢10127%
40 to 60¢2950%
60 to 80¢4173%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢14189%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5131100%+$2
$5 to $21131+$0
$22 to $117131100%+$29
$119 to $4.2K130100%+$258

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics325+$0
World politics150100%+$260
US elections11+$0
Fed and rates23+$0
Tech and AI10100%+$29
Entertainment4+$0

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied sturdy.locust3309

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$159
Profit
on $600 staked
6-0
Record
100% win rate
+26%
Return
164 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$159+$0
Sep 7Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $23.7K

The markets sturdy.locust3309 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sturdy.locust3309 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 15, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 82¢$195Exited
Will a crypto market structure bill become law before Oct 1, 2027?
Oct 12, 13 fills
No88¢sold 85¢$702Exited
Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?
Oct 9, 18 fills
Yes18¢sold 19¢$3Exited
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
    $1.1K on No at 81¢, Oct 9
    +$258
  2. 2
    Anthropic market share this week?
    $125 on No at 83¢, Sep 18
    +$26
  3. 3
    How many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026?
    $47 on No at 94¢, Sep 17
    +$3
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?56¢218+$0
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?41¢76+$0
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B2701012+$0
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?81¢18100%+$260
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢33+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$29
Oct 2026+$260

Kalshi leaderboards

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