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Stats as of

thogf

-$311.86
Tracked Trades
815
First Seen
Nov 7, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In College basketball
41% won · 51 settled · +$279.74

thogf is a Kalshi trader with 815 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 113 wins and 268 losses on settled markets, -$311.86 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Denver,yes New England,yes Washington on Nov 1.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$15.6K
Typical trade
$4.73
Avg entry
29¢
Kalshi rank
#5,890

Profit over time

+$127.00-$541.00
Nov 7Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢26710%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢26130%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢17847%46%-1 pts
60 to 80¢5669%82%+13 pts
Over 80¢5390%93%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $320414%-$27.58
$3 to $520420%-$63.89
$5 to $1520438%-$17.97
$15 to $90420353%-$202.42

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin34940%+$214.76
Parlays1397%-$319.70
NBA6829%+$62.07
College basketball6941%+$279.74
NFL5529%-$70.34
Soccer2819%+$58.34

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied thogf

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$630.61
Profit
on $2,100.00 staked
6-15
Record
29% win rate
-30%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$63.16-$630.61
Sep 7Oct 26
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
1626% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.58×
Profit factor
$869.39 won vs $1.5K lost
+6.3 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

sports21 settled-30%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $75.04

The markets thogf is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thogf is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Denver,yes New England,yes Washington
Nov 1
Yes23¢$7.59+$25.27
yes New England,yes Kenneth Walker III: 2+
Nov 1
Yes12¢$4.71-$4.71
yes Arizona wins by over 2.5 points,yes Tennessee wins by over 2.5 points
Nov 1
Yes19¢$4.73-$4.73
See every position across 516 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Los Angeles R at Chicago: Two or More Touchdowns Scorer: Kyren Williams
    $153.27 on Yes at 39¢, Jan 19
    +$239.73
  2. 2
    New Jersey vs Ottawa Winner?
    $173.80 on Yes at 44¢, Dec 10
    +$221.20
  3. 3
    Lincoln Red Imps vs Olomouc Winner?
    $379.22 on Yes at 67¢, Dec 11
    +$186.78
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Jan 4, 2026?34¢35+$0.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45¢6140%+$103.15
yes Colston Loveland,yes Dallas Goedert,yes Colston Loveland: 40+,yes Dallas Goedert: 40+3¢2+$0.00
Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2025?30¢7861%+$159.62
Vanderbilt at Michigan Winner?90¢3100%+$32.80

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$137.75
Dec 2025-$244.96
Jan 2026+$38.69
Feb 2026+$145.55
Mar 2026+$105.38
Apr 2026-$101.38
Jun 2026+$7.44
Jul 2026-$152.13
Sep 2026+$24.13
Oct 2026-$3.32
Nov 2026+$6.49

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