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Stats as of

TM.23

tm.23

-$468.62
Tracked Trades
566
First Seen
Aug 27, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 6, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
52% won · 346 settled · +$1.3K

TM.23 is a Kalshi trader with 566 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 170 wins and 160 losses on settled markets, -$468.62 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 6.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$27.6K
Typical trade
$26.92
Avg entry
50¢
Kalshi rank
#2,659

Profit over time

+$149.00-$1.6K
Aug 27Nov 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢769%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢5332%21%-11 pts
40 to 60¢20350%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢15169%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢8389%81%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1014250%+$0.96
$11 to $2714250%-$226.49
$27 to $6714150%-$389.87
$67 to $48114156%+$146.78

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin56551%-$468.94
Commodities1100%+$0.32

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied TM.23

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,389.21
Profit
on $28,300.00 staked
145-138
Record
51% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time283 settled trades
+$29.34-$2.2K
Aug 24Nov 2
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
729% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$12.4K won vs $13.8K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
164 trades

By category

crypto282 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 6, 7 fills
No38¢$11.25-$11.25
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 6, 2 fills
Yes61¢sold 10¢$77.87+$49.79
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 6
No50¢$0.53+$0.53
See every position across 255 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $544.81 on No at 55¢, Nov 4
    +$449.75
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $299.15 on No at 53¢, Nov 2
    +$265.28
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $121.31 on Yes at 33¢, Sep 2
    +$246.30
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?50¢56551%-$468.94
Gold price up in next 15 mins?54¢1100%+$0.32

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 9Nov 6

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$340.79
Sep 2026-$723.88
Oct 2026-$160.45
Nov 2026+$756.50

Kalshi leaderboards

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