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Stats as of
tm78
-$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 104
- First Seen
- Apr 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 51% won · 47 settled · +$6.6K
tm78 is a Kalshi trader with 104 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 30 losses on settled markets, -$3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXATPMATCH-26OCT31ZVEDE-ZVE on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 58%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $319.7K
- Typical trade
- $955.07
- Avg entry
- 74¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,403
Profit over time
+$19.4K-$7.2K
Apr 11Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢248%75%+67 pts
20 to 40¢1729%55%+26 pts
40 to 60¢1052%0%-52 pts
60 to 80¢3071%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢2390%67%-23 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$2 to $4772636%+$4.1K
$479 to $9552638%-$4.1K
$955 to $3.0K2673%+$19.7K
$3.0K to $22K2670%-$22.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis6651%+$6.6K
Baseball980%+$2.7K
NBA780%-$1.9K
US elections8100%+$24.8K
College football650%-$10.8K
Hockey10%-$15.4K
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied tm78
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$109.26
Profit
on $2,800.00 staked
14-14
Record
50% win rate
+4%
Return
+$322.78-$70.13
Sep 14Oct 26
-$801.00
Max drawdown
104% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.4K lost
-14.8 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 65¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 17 trades
By category
other12 settled+43%
sports14 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXATPMATCH-26OCT31ZVEDE-ZVE
Oct 31
Tomas Martin Etcheverry wins
Oct 26, 2 fills
Minnesota wins
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$12.2KWill Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?$6.1K on Yes at 33¢, Sep 26
- 2+$8.4KSENATESC-26-D$1.4K on Yes at 14¢, Sep 25
- 3+$4.1KWill Elena Rybakina win the Rybakina vs Andreeva: Semifinal match?$7.7K on Yes at 65¢, Apr 18
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Atlanta at New York Winner?97¢3100%+$863.10
Chicago WS vs A's Winner?98¢2100%+$448.36
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Winner?95¢2100%+$1.2K
Game 1: Orlando at Detroit Winner?98¢1100%+$436.13
Milwaukee vs Miami Winner?97¢2100%+$617.26
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$6.8K
Sep 2026+$10.5K
Oct 2026-$6.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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