rivomarkets

guanchepicker

+$17.9K
Tracked Trades
963
First Seen
Jun 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

guanchepicker is a Kalshi trader with 963 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 107 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $17.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Over 2.5 1H goals scored on Sep 19.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+47%
Money traded
$110.7K
Typical trade
$34
Copy score
40/100
Kalshi rank
#429

Profit over time

+$17.9K-$453
Jun 11Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢678%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢31932%32%-1 pts
40 to 60¢39849%59%+10 pts
60 to 80¢14066%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢3888%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $924139%+$2
$9 to $3524147%+$54
$35 to $16024035%-$1.1K
$163 to $1.8K24059%+$18.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1289%+$5.7K
Culture2+$0

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied guanchepicker

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1784
Profit
on $21300 staked
99-114
Record
46% win rate
+8%
Return
509 still open
Profit over time213 settled trades
+$1.8K-$2.3K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$3.3K
Max drawdown
2928% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.16×
Profit factor
$13.2K won vs $11.4K lost
+4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
72 trades

By category

sports9 settled+91%
other204 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

187 open positions worth $46.4K

The markets guanchepicker is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what guanchepicker is holding

Recent positions

Over 2.5 1H goals scored
Sep 19, avg 57¢
BUYYES$569Open
Will Villarreal score over 2.5 goals?
Sep 17, avg 46¢
BUYYES$508+$596
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
Sep 17, 2 fills, avg 79¢
SELLNO$1.7KOpen
See every position across 347 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Sebastian Baez,yes Moise Kouame,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Kokoro Isomura,yes HOU Texans
    $941 on Yes, Sep 6
    +$7.8K
  2. 2
    Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
    $703 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
    $861 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$1.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?12554%+$3.0K
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?8321%-$2.1K
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?2675%+$3.2K
Over 1.5 1H goals scored?65+$0
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?3440%+$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$673
Jul 2026-$975
Aug 2026+$2.6K
Sep 2026+$15.5K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy guanchepicker on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.