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Stats as of
guanchepicker
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 851
- First Seen
- Jun 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 46% won · 450 settled · +$3.9K
guanchepicker is a Kalshi trader with 851 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 291 wins and 471 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Las Palmas wins on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 38%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $254.1K
- Typical trade
- $193.28
- Avg entry
- 35¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,890
Profit over time
+$18.6K-$4.0K
Jun 11Nov 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢10013%15%+2 pts
20 to 40¢33831%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢29949%49%+1 pts
60 to 80¢6666%64%-2 pts
Over 80¢4897%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9621326%-$1.8K
$96 to $19321340%+$5.2K
$193 to $39321344%+$301.99
$394 to $4.2K21243%-$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer50446%+$3.9K
Parlays30426%-$508.51
Boxing1442%-$1.1K
NBA2645%-$448.06
Tennis10%-$586.95
Bitcoin1100%+$80.88
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied guanchepicker
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$729.21
Profit
on $49,600.00 staked
179-317
Record
36% win rate
+1%
Return
+$3.7K-$271.07
Aug 10Nov 2
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
96% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$32.4K won vs $31.7K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 36¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 22
- Deepest drawdown
- 156 trades
By category
other233 settled+9%
sports259 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Las Palmas wins
Nov 2
Tenerife wins
Nov 2, 4 fills
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$7.8KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026629FAC41CE6-E86419C75B5$940.77 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 6
- 2+$2.4KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202655089FB07E6-1DA9EA5481C$953.17 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 29
- 3+$2.0KWill over 1.5 goals be scored?$703.04 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?45¢5740%-$4.9K
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?42¢5847%+$2.8K
Over 1.5 1H goals scored42¢3144%-$155.05
Over 1.5 1H goals scored?43¢3639%-$1.9K
Over 0.5 1H goals scored46¢3129%-$3.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$1.7K
Jul 2026-$1.7K
Aug 2026+$4.2K
Sep 2026+$10.0K
Oct 2026-$11.6K
Nov 2026+$2.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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