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Stats as of
true.chest
+$909.23
- Tracked Trades
- 157
- First Seen
- Apr 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 6, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 18% won · 22 settled · +$1.6K
true.chest is a Kalshi trader with 157 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 29 wins and 92 losses on settled markets, $909.23 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026T55JC5N3ABOULEAB-JQRRON52M on Nov 6.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $8.7K
- Typical trade
- $12.49
- Avg entry
- 34¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,939
Profit over time
+$909.00-$777.00
Apr 11Nov 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4411%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢5530%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢2748%35%-14 pts
60 to 80¢1070%43%-27 pts
Over 80¢2194%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $6409%-$55.60
$6 to $123924%-$68.81
$13 to $303927%-$130.74
$30 to $1.5K3942%+$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2518%+$1.6K
Bitcoin4245%-$66.35
NBA2830%-$222.78
Ethereum1511%-$44.21
MMA833%+$69.20
Baseball20%-$156.23
Side taken
Yes 85%15% No
If you had copied true.chest
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,379.64
Profit
on $4,100.00 staked
13-28
Record
32% win rate
-34%
Return
+$0.00-$1.7K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.51×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $2.8K lost
-7.4 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 39¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 22 trades
By category
crypto15 settled+13%
sports22 settled-53%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Golden State + Phoenix
Nov 6, 2 fills
Milwaukee wins
Nov 5, 2 fills
yes Washington,yes Denver
Nov 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0Kyes New York,yes Portland$417.59 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 27
- 2+$1.0KParlay: Golden State + Phoenix$574.17 on Yes at 36¢, Nov 5
- 3+$75.49Josh Hart: 10+ points$27.58 on Yes at 27¢, Jun 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?64¢3950%-$45.88
yes New York,yes Portland29¢2100%+$1.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026T55JC5N3ABOULEAB-JQRRON52M1+$0.00
Parlay: Golden State + Phoenix36¢1100%+$1.0K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?43¢1511%-$44.21
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 9Nov 6
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$114.14
May 2026+$99.51
Jun 2026-$77.07
Jul 2026-$143.35
Aug 2026-$41.31
Sep 2026-$181.19
Oct 2026+$635.57
Nov 2026+$731.21
Kalshi leaderboards
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