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Stats as of

uncertain.alligator9196

+$239
Tracked Trades
621
First Seen
Jul 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Best In Parlays
5% won · 524 settled · +$232

uncertain.alligator9196 is a Kalshi trader with 621 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 44 wins and 518 losses on settled markets, $239 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Argentina,yes Egypt,yes Kyrgyzstan,yes Morocco,yes Tatjana Maria,yes San Diego,yes Nebraska,yes James Madison,yes Austin Peay,yes Florida Atlantic,yes Montana,yes Azerbaijan,yes Germany,yes Austria,yes Malta,yes Netherlands,yes Portugal,yes Denmark on Oct 3.

Win rate
8%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$38.7K
Typical trade
$2
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#4,290

Profit over time

+$872-$84
Jul 4Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5232%4%+1 pts
20 to 40¢1930%53%+23 pts
40 to 60¢1850%25%-25 pts
60 to 80¢1270%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢4997%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $11561%-$117
$1 to $21557%-$85
$2 to $51559%-$19
$5 to $5.0K15518%+$460

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays5745%+$232
Soccer1993%+$104
College football880%+$1
Bitcoin714%-$33
Tennis40%-$27
Baseball20%-$24

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied uncertain.alligator9196

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$11448
Profit
on $55000 staked
33-517
Record
6% win rate
-21%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time550 settled trades
+$0-$11.4K
Sep 21Sep 28
-$15.2K
Max drawdown
407% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.78×
Profit factor
$40.3K won vs $51.7K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 5¢ avg
Longest losing streak
130
Deepest drawdown
489 trades

By category

sports540 settled-20%
crypto7 settled-86%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $2

The markets uncertain.alligator9196 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what uncertain.alligator9196 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Argentina,yes Egypt,yes Kyrgyzstan,yes Morocco,yes Tatjana Maria,yes San Diego,yes Nebraska,yes James Madison,yes Austin Peay,yes Florida Atlantic,yes Montana,yes Azerbaijan,yes Germany,yes Austria,yes Malta,yes Netherlands,yes Portugal,yes Denmark
Oct 3
Yes0¢$4-$4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266C43EE0DE6D-0E9726E98FB
Oct 3
Sold Nosold 94¢$2.6KExited
yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Saint Vincent and the Grenadines,yes Argentina,yes Senegal,yes Egypt,yes Kyrgyzstan,yes Morocco,yes Tatjana Maria,yes Los Angeles D,yes Alcorn St.,yes Tennessee,yes Bowling Green,yes San Diego,yes Missouri,yes James Madison,yes Georgia St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Tennessee St.,yes New Mexico,yes Florida St.,yes North Dakota St.,yes Austria,yes Malta,yes Aryna Sabalenka
Oct 3
Yes2¢$9-$9
See every position across 466 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Paraguay,yes Brazil,yes Argentina,yes Cook Islands,yes Albieri / Heng,yes Vlado Jankanj
    $9 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 30
    +$971
  2. 2
    yes Chicago C,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles D,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto,yes Chicago WS,yes Seattle,yes Pittsburgh,yes Milwaukee
    $3 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 27
    +$183
  3. 3
    yes Arthur Fils,yes Jaume Munar,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Juventude RS,yes Cuba,yes Suriname,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Cedric Stanke,yes Castellon,yes Martyna Kubka,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai
    $3 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 28
    +$111
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Belgium,yes Sweden,yes Cyprus,yes Slovakia,yes Hungary,yes Montenegro,yes Poland,yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Finland,yes Iceland,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland,yes Austria,yes Malta0¢20%-$5
yes Boca Juniors,yes Sao Paulo,yes Cuba,yes Saint Lucia,yes Brazil,yes Theo Papamalamis,yes Maria Florencia Urrutia,yes Eldense,yes Club Atletico La Paz,yes Correcaminos,yes Belgium,yes Sweden,yes France,yes Hungary,yes Poland,yes Northern Ireland,yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Iceland,yes Austria,yes Coco Gauff0¢20%-$4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266C43EE0DE6D-0E9726E98FB1+$0
yes Sao Paulo,yes Cuba,yes Saint Lucia,yes Cali,yes Brazil,yes Belgium,yes France,yes Slovakia,yes Hungary,yes Poland,yes Northern Ireland,yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland,yes Germany,yes Austria,yes Netherlands,yes Coco Gauff0¢20%-$5
yes Boca Juniors,yes Sao Paulo,yes Cuba,yes Saint Lucia,yes Brazil,yes Belgium,yes Sweden,yes Hungary,yes Poland,yes Northern Ireland,yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Iceland,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland,yes Germany,yes Austria,yes Antonia Ruzic,yes Coco Gauff0¢20%-$6

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$57
Sep 2026+$809
Oct 2026-$627

Kalshi leaderboards

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