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Stats as of
chilly.harrier4791
+$240
- Tracked Trades
- 484
- First Seen
- Oct 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 19, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 54% won · 445 settled · +$331
chilly.harrier4791 is a Kalshi trader with 484 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 240 wins and 212 losses on settled markets, $240 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 19.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $58.9K
- Typical trade
- $31
- Avg entry
- 55¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,266
Profit over time
+$8.1K-$875
Oct 11Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2115%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢4634%11%-23 pts
40 to 60¢28652%62%+10 pts
60 to 80¢12467%57%-10 pts
Over 80¢789%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $312158%+$1
$3 to $3112151%-$150
$31 to $12112146%-$2.2K
$124 to $2.2K12157%+$2.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin47754%+$331
Ethereum60%-$89
Baseball10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 50%50% No
If you had copied chilly.harrier4791
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1623
Profit
on $45200 staked
240-212
Record
53% win rate
-4%
Return
+$2.6K-$1.6K
Oct 5Oct 19
-$10.1K
Max drawdown
124% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$19.6K won vs $21.2K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 50
- Deepest drawdown
- 129 trades
By category
crypto447 settled-3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.9K on No at 58¢, Oct 11
- 2+$1.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.9K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 11
- 3+$1.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.9K on No at 61¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?55¢47754%+$331
ETH price up in next 15 mins?44¢60%-$89
Los Angeles D wins51¢10%-$1
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 22Oct 19
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$240
Kalshi leaderboards
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