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Stats as of
unsightly.alpaca2781
+$5.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 230
- First Seen
- Jun 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 27, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 3% won · 159 settled · +$5.4K
unsightly.alpaca2781 is a Kalshi trader with 230 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 182 losses on settled markets, $5.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VLLV4LS5TRIM3GDI-JQW2M4TXQ on Oct 27.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +254%
- Money traded
- $5.1K
- Typical trade
- $9.09
- Avg entry
- 0¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,391
Profit over time
+$5.7K-$583.00
Jun 12Oct 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1692%2%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1929%38%+9 pts
40 to 60¢1951%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢769%80%+11 pts
Over 80¢1697%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5588%-$161.26
$5 to $9585%-$347.78
$9 to $14577%+$6.0K
$14 to $1.6K5733%+$106.22
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1623%+$5.4K
Soccer4438%+$2.29
Bitcoin1263%+$184.52
Cricket333%+$2.46
Baseball10%-$19.14
Fed and rates10%-$18.82
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied unsightly.alpaca2781
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$58,679.20
Profit
on $12,600.00 staked
7-119
Record
6% win rate
+466%
Return
+$58.7K-$5.3K
Sep 7Oct 26
-$6.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
8.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.93×
Profit factor
$70.6K won vs $11.9K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 4¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 39
- Deepest drawdown
- 71 trades
By category
sports115 settled+512%
crypto11 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VLLV4LS5TRIM3GDI-JQW2M4TXQ
Oct 27
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City,yes Sevilla,yes Real Madrid,yes Espanyol,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Celta Vigo,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Marseille,yes PSG,yes Lyon,yes Como,yes Atalanta,yes Roma,yes Como,yes Milan,yes Napoli,yes Inter,yes Roma
Oct 27
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.3Kyes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 6.5 points,no San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points,no Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 points,no Golden State wins by over 3.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points,no Utah wins by over 3.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 7.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points$9.13 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 23
- 2+$2.1Kyes Ugo Blanchet,yes Lloyd Harris,yes Rei Sakamoto,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Novak Djokovic,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Tommy Paul,yes Nikoloz Basilashvili,yes Casper Ruud,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Valentin Vacherot,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Alex de Minaur,yes Naomi Osaka$9.17 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 26
- 3+$192.44yes England advances,yes USA advances,yes Spain advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes France advances,yes Mexico advances,yes Harry Kane: 1+$18.80 on Yes at 9¢, Jun 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VLLV4LS5TRIM3GDI-JQW2M4TXQ1+$0.00
Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?18¢40%-$70.65
BTC price up in next 15 mins?53¢967%+$188.35
Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner?24¢30%-$42.73
Belgium vs Egypt Winner?31¢3100%+$84.93
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 30Oct 27
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$135.01
Jul 2026-$166.91
Aug 2026-$9.23
Sep 2026-$140.97
Oct 2026+$5.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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