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Stats as of
week.armmarcim
-$750.68
- Tracked Trades
- 971
- First Seen
- Jul 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 9, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 52% won · 29 settled · +$757.87
week.armmarcim is a Kalshi trader with 971 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 148 wins and 682 losses on settled markets, -$750.68 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20266XTDMHPLKD26WD2C-DHTALMTAZ on Nov 9.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $54.9K
- Typical trade
- $23.86
- Avg entry
- 7¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,210
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$2.4K
Jul 7Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6396%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢15528%27%-1 pts
40 to 60¢10350%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢3768%58%-10 pts
Over 80¢3794%67%-27 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $92435%+$418.63
$9 to $2424310%+$1.1K
$24 to $6924319%-$1.2K
$70 to $1.2K24239%-$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays93017%-$1.6K
Baseball3652%+$757.87
Soccer433%+$104.31
Weather10%-$37.96
Side taken
Yes 100%0% No
If you had copied week.armmarcim
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$446.42
Profit
on $20,500.00 staked
37-168
Record
18% win rate
+2%
Return
+$446.42-$8.5K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$8.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$17.2K won vs $16.8K lost
-3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 25
- Deepest drawdown
- 195 trades
By category
sports205 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes New Orleans,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago
Nov 9, 2 fills
yes Seattle,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes San Francisco
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Cleveland,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Kansas City
Nov 8, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8Kyes Philadelphia,yes St. Louis,yes Pittsburgh,yes Chicago C,yes San Francisco,yes Toronto,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona$28.05 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 4
- 2+$1.7Kyes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes New Orleans,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago$18.64 on Yes at 1¢, Nov 8
- 3+$1.1Kyes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland,yes Seattle,yes Arizona,yes Boston,yes Milwaukee$60.90 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20266XTDMHPLKD26WD2C-DHTALMTAZ1+$0.00
yes Austin,yes Tie92¢2100%+$40.32
yes Kansas City,yes Chicago C,yes Houston,yes Colorado,yes San Diego67¢20%-$918.47
yes St. Louis,yes Chicago C,yes San Francisco,yes Toronto,yes Tampa Bay81¢2100%+$203.56
yes Philadelphia,yes St. Louis,yes Pittsburgh,yes Chicago C,yes San Francisco,yes Toronto,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona2¢3100%+$1.8K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 12Nov 9
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$339.61
Aug 2026-$1.6K
Sep 2026-$432.99
Oct 2026-$9.27
Nov 2026+$1.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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