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Stats as of

yourworsenightmare

+$750
Tracked Trades
1,004
First Seen
Apr 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Tennis
55% won · 33 settled · +$850

yourworsenightmare is a Kalshi trader with 1,004 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 187 wins and 589 losses on settled markets, $750 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FYAAJBR2OEXAE272-NCHY6A35Y on Oct 23.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$86.0K
Typical trade
$46
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#3,662

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$3.2K
Apr 12Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4459%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢17130%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢25949%43%-7 pts
60 to 80¢3872%50%-22 pts
Over 80¢9189%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1725125%-$30
$17 to $4625116%+$18
$46 to $9425124%-$1.6K
$94 to $1.3K25134%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays51312%+$460
Baseball14143%+$293
NBA11046%-$450
Soccer6016%-$404
College football8532%-$306
Tennis4355%+$850

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied yourworsenightmare

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2341
Profit
on $23500 staked
61-174
Record
26% win rate
+10%
Return
Profit over time235 settled trades
+$3.2K-$1.3K
Jul 20Oct 12
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
113% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.13×
Profit factor
$19.7K won vs $17.4K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
88 trades

By category

sports235 settled+10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FYAAJBR2OEXAE272-NCHY6A35Y
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 90¢$545Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026HIV67CWDIHM4SYBA-QNMFJTECN
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 91¢$569Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WAIOCTEYN3N7ERSA-KYYGN2XMK
Oct 20
Sold Nosold 93¢$951Exited
See every position across 606 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes LSU wins by over 6.5 points,no Duke wins by over 7.5 points,yes SMU wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 60.5 points,yes Over 50.5 points,no Over 52.5 points
    $113 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 17
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Xinxin Yao wins
    $247 on Yes at 17¢, Sep 19
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    yes Carolina,no New England wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points,yes Over 42.5 points
    $124 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 18
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Xinxin Yao wins17¢14100%+$1.2K
no New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 runs,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Tie,yes Norway2¢20%-$27
yes Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points,yes UTSA wins by over 5.5 points,no TCU wins by over 11.5 points19¢20%-$194
yes Carolina,no New England wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points,yes Over 42.5 points10¢2100%+$1.1K
yes Los Angeles D,yes Minnesota,yes Chicago WS,yes Over 6.5 runs scored9¢2100%+$980

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$2.0K
May 2026+$2.1K
Jun 2026-$2.5K
Jul 2026+$486
Aug 2026-$73
Sep 2026-$531
Oct 2026+$3.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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