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Stats as of

GollumGekko

0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f

+$55.6K
Tracked Trades
1,119
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
53% won · 219 settled · +$23.4K

GollumGekko is a Polymarket trader with 1,119 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 204 wins and 131 losses on settled markets, $55.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? on Nov 3.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$1.8M
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
53¢
Polymarket rank
#623

Profit over time

+$74.4K-$30.5K
Aug 20Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8214%27%+13 pts
20 to 40¢6529%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢15052%43%-9 pts
60 to 80¢36970%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢45389%81%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $72328064%+$7.9K
$724 to $1.0K28058%-$1.0K
$1.0K to $1.8K28052%-$32.1K
$1.8K to $23K27970%+$80.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics70353%+$23.4K
US elections11587%+$17.3K
Fed and rates7064%+$17.4K
Companies6325%-$2.4K
Economic data45+$0.00
Commodities4338%-$4.7K

Side taken

Yes 43%57% No

If you had copied GollumGekko

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$775.24
Profit
on $10,200.00 staked
59-43
Record
58% win rate
+8%
Return
95 still open
Profit over time102 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
84% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$5.1K won vs $4.3K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 60¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

politics77 settled+15%
culture14 settled-13%
finance8 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

76 open positions worth $306.7K

The markets GollumGekko is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what GollumGekko is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Nov 3
Yes54¢$539.99+$459.99
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Nov 3, 3 fills
No32¢$1.6K-$1.6K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nov 3
Yes10¢$1.5K-$1.5K
See every position across 190 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $11.3K on Yes at 10¢, Oct 9
    +$98.1K
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $19.6K on No at 47¢, Sep 16
    +$21.8K
  3. 3
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $64.4K on Yes at 79¢, Sep 20
    +$16.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?47¢39+$0.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?79¢55100%+$16.8K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93¢33+$0.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?66¢62+$0.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢33+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$6.1K
Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026+$66.0K
Nov 2026-$6.0K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position78%
Added to a position10%
Opened a new position7%
Closed a position5%
Flipped sides0%

Polymarket leaderboards

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