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Stats as of
TheQuietRisk
0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
+$654.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Jul 20, 2025
- Last Trade
- Jun 17, 2026
- Best In World politics
- 21% won · 832 settled · +$664.9K
TheQuietRisk is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 188 wins and 700 losses on settled markets, $654.0K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 21%
- Return on settled
- +35%
- Money traded
- $3.9M
- Typical trade
- $932
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Polymarket rank
- #84
Profit over time
+$1.06M-$111.7K
Jul 20Jun 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢68110%12%+2 pts
20 to 40¢22726%36%+10 pts
40 to 60¢5447%33%-14 pts
60 to 80¢2664%100%+36 pts
Over 80¢1295%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $3082509%-$10.1K
$311 to $93025016%-$23.0K
$933 to $2.5K25022%+$10.4K
$2.5K to $798K25039%+$676.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
World politics93321%+$664.9K
Bitcoin2732%+$6.8K
Ethereum1320%-$3.1K
Boxing30%-$9.9K
Solana1631%-$3.3K
Fed and rates40%-$997
Side taken
Yes 99%1% No
If you had copied TheQuietRisk
$100 per bet, last 90 days
Nothing to simulate
We have not tracked an entry from TheQuietRisk in the last 90 days.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Jun 17, 68 fills
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Jun 17, 39 fills
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Jun 17, 14 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$488.7KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$102.5K on Yes at 17¢, Feb 18
- 2+$331.4KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$68.8K on Yes at 17¢, Feb 25
- 3+$220.0KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$380.8K on Yes at 63¢, Apr 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
US forces enter Iran by April 30?63¢36100%+$220.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?17¢34100%+$488.7K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?26¢43+$0
US forces enter Iran by March 31?66¢667%+$10.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?11¢680%-$221.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Mar 20Jun 17
Profit by month
Jul 2025-$65.4K
Aug 2025-$43.5K
Sep 2025+$165.0K
Oct 2025+$195.7K
Nov 2025-$16.3K
Dec 2025-$40.7K
Jan 2026-$245.4K
Feb 2026+$982.2K
Mar 2026+$126.6K
Apr 2026-$311.5K
May 2026-$89.1K
Jun 2026-$3.4K
Polymarket leaderboards
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