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Stats as of

TheQuietRisk

0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d

+$654.0K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 20, 2025
Last Trade
Jun 17, 2026
Best In World politics
21% won · 832 settled · +$664.9K

TheQuietRisk is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 188 wins and 700 losses on settled markets, $654.0K net profit on those trades.

Win rate
21%
Return on settled
+35%
Money traded
$3.9M
Typical trade
$932
Avg entry
17¢
Polymarket rank
#84

Profit over time

+$1.06M-$111.7K
Jul 20Jun 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢68110%12%+2 pts
20 to 40¢22726%36%+10 pts
40 to 60¢5447%33%-14 pts
60 to 80¢2664%100%+36 pts
Over 80¢1295%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $3082509%-$10.1K
$311 to $93025016%-$23.0K
$933 to $2.5K25022%+$10.4K
$2.5K to $798K25039%+$676.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics93321%+$664.9K
Bitcoin2732%+$6.8K
Ethereum1320%-$3.1K
Boxing30%-$9.9K
Solana1631%-$3.3K
Fed and rates40%-$997

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied TheQuietRisk

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Nothing to simulate

We have not tracked an entry from TheQuietRisk in the last 90 days.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Jun 17, 68 fills
Yes11¢sold 0¢$221.0K-$221.0K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Jun 17, 39 fills
Yes8¢sold 0¢$34.7K-$34.7K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Jun 17, 14 fills
Yes8¢sold 1¢$10.5K-$10.5K
See every position across 89 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
    $102.5K on Yes at 17¢, Feb 18
    +$488.7K
  2. 2
    US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
    $68.8K on Yes at 17¢, Feb 25
    +$331.4K
  3. 3
    US forces enter Iran by April 30?
    $380.8K on Yes at 63¢, Apr 1
    +$220.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US forces enter Iran by April 30?63¢36100%+$220.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?17¢34100%+$488.7K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?26¢43+$0
US forces enter Iran by March 31?66¢667%+$10.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?11¢680%-$221.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Mar 20Jun 17

Profit by month

Jul 2025-$65.4K
Aug 2025-$43.5K
Sep 2025+$165.0K
Oct 2025+$195.7K
Nov 2025-$16.3K
Dec 2025-$40.7K
Jan 2026-$245.4K
Feb 2026+$982.2K
Mar 2026+$126.6K
Apr 2026-$311.5K
May 2026-$89.1K
Jun 2026-$3.4K

Polymarket leaderboards

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