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Stats as of

Madsolbro

0x0e091edf1f6aa768f60407314147faaf3c1d05bb

-$4.5K
Tracked Trades
349
First Seen
Jan 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In World politics
36% won · 86 settled · +$24.14

Madsolbro is a Polymarket trader with 349 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 83 wins and 117 losses on settled markets, -$4.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Oct 26.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$209.3K
Typical trade
$100.00
Avg entry
40¢
Polymarket rank
#8,702

Profit over time

+$64.00-$7.3K
Jan 22Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1246%3%-3 pts
20 to 40¢3129%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢3850%33%-16 pts
60 to 80¢6171%89%+18 pts
Over 80¢9591%86%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $50886%-$734.48
$50 to $1008731%-$931.11
$102 to $8008772%+$354.49
$818 to $5.7K8778%-$3.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics18236%+$24.14
Soccer9460%-$3.9K
US elections17+$0.00
Bitcoin1924%-$627.23
US politics650%+$603.61
Fed and rates1510%-$246.42

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied Madsolbro

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$379.44
Profit
on $3,000.00 staked
11-19
Record
37% win rate
+13%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$379.44-$1.1K
Jul 27Oct 26
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.20×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $1.9K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 33¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
21 trades

By category

crypto16 settled+27%
politics13 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

30 open positions worth $41.3K

The markets Madsolbro is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Madsolbro is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Oct 23, 3 fills
Yes94¢$9.6K+$576.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Oct 22, 6 fills
No82¢sold 85¢$3.0KExited
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Oct 21, 2 fills
Yes89¢$2.0K+$259.36
See every position across 166 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
    $10.7K on Yes at 89¢, Apr 13
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
    $3.5K on No at 75¢, Jul 22
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    US government shutdown Saturday?
    $1.8K on Yes at 74¢, Jan 28
    +$632.81
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢3+$0.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?95¢6+$0.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?94¢2100%+$340.24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?89¢3100%+$1.4K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?82¢350%+$34.71

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$2.1K
Feb 2026-$918.26
Mar 2026-$657.99
Apr 2026+$1.3K
May 2026-$100.00
Jun 2026-$4.2K
Jul 2026+$1.8K
Aug 2026-$80.27
Sep 2026-$94.17
Oct 2026+$641.11

How they build positions

Closed a position29%
Opened a new position29%
Added to a position21%
Trimmed a position21%

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